2005 Activity Calendar

[KWT]

Thanks for this graphic. So if we look at 2005, by the end of June we have had 2 named systems already. By the end of July we had 7 named systems. This year we have had no named systems, and looks like there is a possibility we won't even have a named system in June as I look at the available model guidance.

If this season is going to be anything close to 2005, it looks like some named systems need to form in July. At this point, I do think we will get 2 or 3 before we head into the typically active months of Aug - Oct. But I don't think we will get 7 named systems before August this year.

Indeed, I'd be shocked if we even reach 5 before August, but who knows!

What I'd say is the odds of getting 2005 type numbers are very large, even in a season where conditions look good. This year thus far is lining up to be very similar to most developing La Ninas, quite a few only get 1 system before August starts interestingly enough.

[jinftl]

May be more like 1969 and 2004 seasons....both rank in the top 10 in terms of # storms in a season, but 1969 didn't have the first named system until July 27th and 2004 didn't see the first name storm until July 31st.

I really doubt we will see another season with the # of storms we saw in 2005 in our lifetime...but that doesn't mean in any way, shape, or form that the damage totals from 2005 won't be eclipsed sooner rather than later. One storm hitting the wrong place at the wrong time could eclipse the damage $ of Katrina, Rita, and Wilma combined!!!

Thanks for this graphic. So if we look at 2005, by the end of June we have had 2 named systems already. By the end of July we had 7 named systems. This year we have had no named systems, and looks like there is a possibility we won't even have a named system in June as I look at the available model guidance.

If this season is going to be anything close to 2005, it looks like some named systems need to form in July. At this point, I do think we will get 2 or 3 before we head into the typically active months of Aug - Oct. But I don't think we will get 7 named systems before August this year.

Indeed, I'd be shocked if we even reach 5 before August, but who knows!

What I'd say is the odds of getting 2005 type numbers are very large, even in a season where conditions look good. This year thus far is lining up to be very similar to most developing La Ninas, quite a few only get 1 system before August starts interestingly enough.

[lonelymike]

I'll probably get flamed for this...but oh well its just my opinion. I say if the Marx Brothers hadn't been in charge of levy maintainence in New Orleans I don't think people would think of Katrina as that memorable.
I know the people in Mississippi strongly disagree as well they should but if the levys don't fail different story. IMO