Wave in Caribbean

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Ivanhater
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Atlantic

#21 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Jun 02, 2010 4:23 pm

This may not develop this far out, but could be an instigator once in Caribbean .
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#22 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Jun 02, 2010 4:27 pm

I'd say this has serious EPAC potential. Too far south to do much right now, unless conditions are THAT good that we can have named storms develop near 5N and track into South America.
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#23 Postby KWT » Wed Jun 02, 2010 4:42 pm

Yeah no doubt this one needs to be watched, has anyone got a map of the ITCZ right now?

I'd agree if it stays south then somewhere down the line it could be a possible system to watch for the EPAC/Caribbean, though thats still a very long way down the line.

Still a cool early wave thats for sure!
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Re:

#24 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 02, 2010 4:46 pm

KWT wrote:Yeah no doubt this one needs to be watched, has anyone got a map of the ITCZ right now?

I'd agree if it stays south then somewhere down the line it could be a possible system to watch for the EPAC/Caribbean, though thats still a very long way down the line.

Still a cool early wave thats for sure!


Image
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Atlantic

#25 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 02, 2010 5:03 pm

Since I posted the image early this morning until the latest one below at 2115 UTC,you can see that different from the norm when waves as soon they hit the water go poof,this one hits the waters in the overnight hours but has not gone poof yet,hmmm.

Image
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xcool22

#26 Postby xcool22 » Wed Jun 02, 2010 5:08 pm

hey anyone. have analog years for Florida had No Rain"thanks..
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#27 Postby KWT » Wed Jun 02, 2010 5:24 pm

Yeah Cycloneye it is a little different, the system looks more like a typical late July/Early August type wave because the SST's are around that level plus its in a region of low shear and the SAL as others have said is a good deal further north for now and thus isn't inhibiting the convection.
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#28 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Jun 02, 2010 5:26 pm

Even though it is embedded in the ITCZ it is impressive for a wave this time of year.
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Atlantic

#29 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 02, 2010 5:26 pm

Here is the infared image at 2130 UTC.

Image
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#30 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jun 02, 2010 5:43 pm

Image
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#31 Postby KWT » Wed Jun 02, 2010 5:47 pm

You can see that wave train kicking off quite nicely there Hurakan, plus the strong Phet as well.
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#32 Postby Scorpion » Wed Jun 02, 2010 5:56 pm

Image

Shear is very favorable for this time of year.

Image
Last edited by Scorpion on Wed Jun 02, 2010 5:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Atlantic

#33 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 02, 2010 5:56 pm

Here is an impressive Modis image from early this afternoon where you can see clearly the dust to the north of the wave.

Image
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#34 Postby Gustywind » Wed Jun 02, 2010 6:19 pm

Image
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#35 Postby Gustywind » Wed Jun 02, 2010 6:20 pm

Image
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Atlantic

#36 Postby Brent » Wed Jun 02, 2010 6:25 pm

This wave looks surprisingly good for so early. Wow.
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#37 Postby KWT » Wed Jun 02, 2010 6:40 pm

It sure does look impressive Brent, I think whats striking is it hasn't just totally poofed instantly. Convective coverage has decreased a little but it still looks quite potent.

Also those shear map is scary, we are in places 20-35kts lower then average and a decent part of the deep tropical MDR zone below 15N is below 10-15kts, not bad at all!
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Re:

#38 Postby Cookie » Wed Jun 02, 2010 7:32 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Image


that is amazing mate 8-)
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Atlantic

#39 Postby Javlin » Wed Jun 02, 2010 8:13 pm

What about the little ball 5-10' N in Africa?? Looks maybe 4-5 days out?
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#40 Postby Annie Oakley » Wed Jun 02, 2010 8:18 pm

Beautiful graphics all......thanks.
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