Poll: When Will The First Named Tropical System Form

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When will the first named system form?

May 15th - 31st
12
11%
June 1st - 10th
16
15%
June 11th - 20th
22
21%
June 21st -30th
30
28%
July 1st - 10th
8
8%
July 11th - 20th
6
6%
July 21st - 31st
5
5%
August 1st - 10th
3
3%
August 11th - 20th
2
2%
August 21st - 31st
0
No votes
September 1st - 15th
0
No votes
September 16th - 30th
0
No votes
October 1st - 15th
0
No votes
October 16th - 31th
0
No votes
November
0
No votes
No Named Tropical Systems In The Atlantic Basin In 2010
2
2%
 
Total votes: 106
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cycloneye
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Re: Poll: When Will The First Named Tropical System Form

#21 Postby cycloneye » Sun Apr 11, 2010 6:50 pm

The last option has votes.Imagine if that occurs. :)
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Re: Poll: When Will The First Named Tropical System Form

#22 Postby jinftl » Sun Apr 11, 2010 7:20 pm

Looking at past memorable seasons...it hasn't been until the climatologic peak of the seasons...meaning august through october (some memorable activity has been in July...but that is the exception, not the rule)...that what made those seasons infamous and memorable took place in the tropics. If we get a hybrid or outlier system in May (unlikely) or June (still fairly unlikely), it probably won't be the 'defining moment' of the season ahead. On the other hand, if we don't have 4 named storms by June 30, there is no basis to issuing a 'season cancel'. Just take 2004....the first storm formed on July 31.

cycloneye wrote:The last option has votes.Imagine if that occurs. :)
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Re: Poll: When Will The First Named Tropical System Form

#23 Postby AJC3 » Sun Apr 11, 2010 7:25 pm

cycloneye wrote:The last option has votes.Imagine if that occurs. :)


Apparently, there's always a couple of smarty pants in the crowd...
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Re: Poll: When Will The First Named Tropical System Form

#24 Postby meteorologyman » Sun Apr 11, 2010 11:53 pm

June 1st - 1oth
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#25 Postby SETXWXLADY » Sun Apr 11, 2010 11:59 pm

I went June 1st-10th too. But I'm never right. :lol:
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Re: Poll: When Will The First Named Tropical System Form

#26 Postby meteorologyman » Wed Apr 28, 2010 12:49 am

I thought I should bump this up. Since our first storm (may) form in 1st week of may if models are right.

LOL if it forms 1st week of May then I guess no 1 is right since that wasn't even an option
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Re: Poll: When Will The First Named Tropical System Form

#27 Postby Pedro Fernández » Wed Apr 28, 2010 2:52 am

I bet for June 11th - 20th

Thinking about a bit late beginning...
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#28 Postby TexasStorm » Wed Apr 28, 2010 2:37 pm

If we are talking just Atlantic Basin then I say July 1-10th
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#29 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Wed Apr 28, 2010 3:56 pm

Given the current preseaon setup I'll go with late June, 21st-30th.
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Re: Poll: When Will The First Named Tropical System Form

#30 Postby angelwing » Wed Apr 28, 2010 9:08 pm

May 16
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#31 Postby brunota2003 » Mon May 31, 2010 8:12 am

Bumping this up...most people think the first named system will form sometime in June!
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#32 Postby Ad Novoxium » Mon May 31, 2010 8:16 am

ARGH. I went to click on "June 1-10" and accidentally hit "July". Can someone pass me the paper bag?
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#33 Postby Trader Ron » Mon May 31, 2010 11:09 am

June 21st-30th
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Re:

#34 Postby KWT » Mon May 31, 2010 2:50 pm

KWT wrote:Hard to call simply because there are always going to be the odd system that comes close in May and June even in slower years, esp given we are coming out of a El nino Spring and the jet should be quite strong and far south still which means the odds are there for a cold core system that changes to subtropical/tropical with time.


Well 90L was an attempt at that, wouldn't be surprised to see another attempt at that some point in the next 30-45 days before upper temps start to become too warm to really allow for such a transition to occur.
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Re: Poll: When Will The First Named Tropical System Form

#35 Postby Brent » Mon May 31, 2010 6:53 pm

June 11-20
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Re: Poll: When Will The First Named Tropical System Form

#36 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Mon Jun 21, 2010 10:47 am

Just bumping this up...many folks already missed with their very early season guesses.
I was in the June 21st-June 30th group...let's see if it happens this week or holds off a little longer.
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Re: Poll: When Will The First Named Tropical System Form

#37 Postby TYNI » Mon Jun 21, 2010 11:18 am

If nothing develops this next period (June 21 to June 30), 76% of us were off the mark!
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Re:

#38 Postby TYNI » Mon Jun 21, 2010 11:20 am

Ad Novoxium wrote:ARGH. I went to click on "June 1-10" and accidentally hit "July". Can someone pass me the paper bag?



Looking like a good mistake, now.
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Re: Poll: When Will The First Named Tropical System Form

#39 Postby somethingfunny » Mon Jun 21, 2010 11:49 pm

TYNI wrote:
Ad Novoxium wrote:ARGH. I went to click on "June 1-10" and accidentally hit "July". Can someone pass me the paper bag?



Looking like a good mistake, now.


Do you really think we'll make it to July 1st without Alex? I don't feel confident at all in my July 11-20 pick anymore.
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Re: Poll: When Will The First Named Tropical System Form

#40 Postby Iune » Sun Jun 27, 2010 9:15 pm

TYNI wrote:If nothing develops this next period (June 21 to June 30), 76% of us were off the mark!

76% of the people were correct! Alex formed on June 25. :D
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