Dry Cool Florida

[gatorcane]

The Gulf keeps temperatures within a few degrees of the STT out here with strong breezes cooling things off. So it's a more marine type atmosphere than other places in Florida. That's what makes it like paradise.

The mid-May arrival of the humidity is weird. It always comes like clockwork within a few days of May 15th.

Indeed and along the SE Coast of FL the effect of the seabreeze is even more apparent as SSTs are generally cooler on the Atlantic side than the GOM side with air temps staying in the mid to upper 80s along the coast whenever the easterly wind flow is in place during the hot summer months. So although a strong Bermuda High can steer hurricanes into the FL peninsula, it also generally keeps the SE Coast of FL out of the 90s (albeit upper 70s to around 80F at night) as E to SE winds typically blow in at around 10-20mph off of the Gulf stream.

[fci]

Hey Gatorcane you live in Coral Springs now.That town has grown big time since I left in 1994.I think this hurricane season will have a little more to track than the last 2 years,in my opinion.

Hi Boca, yes I do live there now but commute to Boca Raton still quite a bit

FYI, here is the dry south florida May theory explained for those that are interested:


http://www.insurancejournal.com/news/so ... /54367.htm

Snippet from article:

"When rainfall in May exceeds the regional average of 5 inches, he said the risk decreases"

And you will see more rain in Coral Springs being just a bit more inland.
Those dark clouds in the west from Boca are raining in Coral Springs!

Oh, each year we theorize how the May/June weather will affect the tropical threats to come and they really don't mean a thing sans the fodder they are for discussion.
Last year I remember we talked about the windy conditions we had and how that foretold a busy season with the Bermuda high pumping in easterly winds.
And then what happens.......nada.

Where the high is now and the lack of rain mean squat to what the conditions will be when it counts and the numerous other variables that affect the strength and path of systems.

But for now..... let the discussion and theories rage.
Why not??? (Chris; your first "eek")

[Sanibel]

The Gulf keeps us cool in spring when it is still in the upper 70's and lower 80's. In winter and spring the Gulf Stream off the east coast is in the 70's and 80's. Come summer the balance switches and the Gulf gets hotter going into 90's while the Gulf Stream peaks out at lower temperatures. In winter the Gulf can get into the mid-50's while the Gulf Stream is still in the 70's.

[gatorcane]

Interesting blurb from todays' NWS Mia discussion which could bring a late season "cool" snap to much of peninsula Florida. It is clear the South Florida rainy season has not started and may just start a tad late this year. What is also clear as that the mid-lattitude flow across the CONUS is still reminiscent of a later winter/spring-like regime and the transition to a summer, more zonal regime has not happened.

IN THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST...ALTHOUGH IT IS GETTING
TO BE LATE IN THE SEASON FOR EVEN A WEAK COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE INSISTS THAT A MODIFIED NORTH PACIFIC
AIRMASS WILL SPREAD SOUTHWARD OVER THE PENINSULA IN WAKE OF UPPER
LOW FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE COAST OF THE NORTHEAST U.S. EARLY
NEXT WEEK. IF THIS INDEED OCCURS...A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT NORTH
FLOW AND SLIGHTLY COOLER/DRIER CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER...AN AMPLIFIED NORTHERN STREAM IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE MID-LATITUDES...AND SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK
SHOULD ALLOW WINDS TO VEER RATHER QUICKLY TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE AREA. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE GRADUALLY THROUGH THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...BUT UPPER RIDGE IS FORECAST TO SHIFT
EASTWARD OVER THE PENINSULA...DOWNSTREAM FROM A BROAD LONG WAVE
TROUGH DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS WILL MAINTAIN
WARM/HUMID BUT GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.