TS Florence,Analysis,Sat Pics Thread #5

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ConvergenceZone
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#181 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Sep 06, 2006 6:25 pm

even though it looks like it will be 99.9% likely to miss the USA now , I'm just glad I finally have something to track that will more than likely make it to hurricane strength, FINALLY!!
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#182 Postby cinlfla » Wed Sep 06, 2006 6:26 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:even though it looks like it will be 99.9% likely to miss the USA now , I'm just glad I finally have something to track that will more than likely make it to hurricane strength, FINALLY!!



Amen Brotha!!
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Evil Jeremy
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#183 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed Sep 06, 2006 6:43 pm

dont like the new GFDL! more west, less north!
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#184 Postby huricanwatcher » Wed Sep 06, 2006 6:44 pm

im telling ya's ... im having bad feeling ever since the beginning of FLO... those feathers and whisper clouds...
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#185 Postby cpdaman » Wed Sep 06, 2006 6:44 pm

i am intrested to track the swells as they cross the atlantic this storm has the potential to send some of the biggest waves in many many years through the atlantic. based on its size and the fetch of strong winds. the pictures will be amazing

evil jeremy any quick link
Last edited by cpdaman on Wed Sep 06, 2006 6:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#186 Postby Scorpion » Wed Sep 06, 2006 6:44 pm

Some pretty deep convection going on. Seems rather unusual for a TS.
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#187 Postby conestogo_flood » Wed Sep 06, 2006 6:47 pm

Yay, a USA miss. But, those poor people in Atlantic Canada. A hurricane isn't something that happens everyday up there, so I think this is major cause for concern.

Please read:

During Juan, mandatory evacuates were in place for parts of Halifax County, but not many left. People don't have to evacuate often, and there would not be much media attention about this because Canada is just that way. It will not sound as bad as it could be, and people are just stubborn to leave. If it takes an aim for Halifax, then you better start praying. If it is a major hurricane, or strong category two, you are going to get "I, and my house, survived Juan.". It's a totally different situation, Juan is our Camille.

If this thing is a category 3 even if it hits Atlantic Canada that could be a serious problem. That is our Katrina or NYC impact. There could be a huge loss of life too, let alone property damage. If the Avalon Peninsula took a hit that could even be catastrophic because it is all rocks and valleys up there, there is no soil. The rain would flood everything, and the buildings would be blown to bits since everyone lives in 1920s shacks on concrete blocks.

Florence deserves major interest, I wouldn't be "praising God" for a hurricane right now, because Canada is not prepared for hurricanes.
Last edited by conestogo_flood on Wed Sep 06, 2006 6:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#188 Postby Trugunzn » Wed Sep 06, 2006 6:48 pm

very impressive:
Image
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#189 Postby pgoss11 » Wed Sep 06, 2006 6:50 pm

Where is the center exactly?
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#190 Postby Bgator » Wed Sep 06, 2006 6:52 pm

Looking at satellite, i see a west motion again...A due west motion, i think that north component is relocations of centers, but Does anyone else see a western motion?
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#191 Postby marcane_1973 » Wed Sep 06, 2006 6:55 pm

The Bermuda High is shifted way to far to the East for this time of the year. Every storm that forms out in the Eastern Atlantic will be a fish. I thought Dr. Gray forecasted the Eastern seaboard a high percentage chance this year of getting some TS or Hurricanes. Looks like he came out with one bogus forecast for Hurricane season 2006. :roll:
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#192 Postby huricanwatcher » Wed Sep 06, 2006 6:57 pm

marcane_1973, BE careful what you are stating. ..... how much of an expert are you? god i hate it when people trash those who are the experts
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#193 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Sep 06, 2006 7:04 pm

last I checked, the East Coast just was hit very hard by a very strong tropical storm... and New England, especially Maine, it not in the clear from this thing.

If Florence were to hit Halifax, Maine would receive very strong winds due to its size. Maine is also a place not prepared that well for hurricanes
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#194 Postby Trugunzn » Wed Sep 06, 2006 7:06 pm

How fast is it going, it looks very very slow.
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#195 Postby Stratosphere747 » Wed Sep 06, 2006 7:09 pm

Trugunzn wrote:How fast is it going, it looks very very slow.


Check the NHC disco and advisorys...
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#196 Postby Nimbus » Wed Sep 06, 2006 7:11 pm

Still looks like a bicycle with two seperate vortices. Convection is starting to pop over the eastern vortice.
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#197 Postby pgoss11 » Wed Sep 06, 2006 7:12 pm

It is true about people in New England not being prepared for a hurricane. Most of the people that live here in Rhode Island are so complacent, because they've never even lived through a strong hurricane. The coastline is so built up now it would be a catastrophe, because I think many people wouldn't evacuate out of sheer ignorance. I hope Flo stays away!!!
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#198 Postby stormchazer » Wed Sep 06, 2006 7:12 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
Trugunzn wrote:How fast is it going, it looks very very slow.


Check the NHC disco and advisorys...


8 KT

I am nicer then some. :lol:
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#199 Postby Praxus » Wed Sep 06, 2006 7:16 pm

I'm thinking we should stop calling it a fish until the northern track is more apparent, since as it stands, new england and nova scotia are at risk.
Not to mention bermuda..
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#200 Postby storm4u » Wed Sep 06, 2006 7:21 pm

I just read on another board that 92L Could be a player on where Florence ends up and could actually bring it closer to the coast! :roll:
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