Central Atlantic Wave,Midway Between Africa and L Antilles
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- bostonseminole
- Tropical Storm
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- cycloneye
- Admin
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- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
bostonseminole wrote:cycloneye wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/dvorak.html
tgenius at link above you will find the whole explanation about how this dvorak thing works.
can you send me link to actual Dvorak
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html
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- HurricaneMaster_PR
- Category 2
- Posts: 795
- Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 6:23 pm
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Tropical Weather Outlook
Statement as of 10:30 PM EDT on August 29, 2006
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ernesto...located a few miles southeast of Islamorada in the
Florida Keys.
A tropical wave is located several hundred miles southwest of the
Cape Verde island. Development of this system..if any...is
expected to be slow to occur as the tropical wave moves slowly
westward.
An area of low pressure is located about 1200 miles east of the
northern Leeward Islands. Shower activity with this system is
limited...and development...if any...is expected to be slow to
occur as the low moves westward.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through
Thursday.
$$
Forecaster Franklin
Statement as of 10:30 PM EDT on August 29, 2006
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ernesto...located a few miles southeast of Islamorada in the
Florida Keys.
A tropical wave is located several hundred miles southwest of the
Cape Verde island. Development of this system..if any...is
expected to be slow to occur as the tropical wave moves slowly
westward.
An area of low pressure is located about 1200 miles east of the
northern Leeward Islands. Shower activity with this system is
limited...and development...if any...is expected to be slow to
occur as the low moves westward.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through
Thursday.
$$
Forecaster Franklin
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- cycloneye
- Admin
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- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
411
ABNT20 KNHC 300306
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT TUE AUG 29 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ERNESTO...LOCATED A FEW MILES SOUTHEAST OF ISLAMORADA IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLAND. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM..IF ANY...IS
EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVES SLOWLY
WESTWARD.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
ABNT20 KNHC 300306
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT TUE AUG 29 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ERNESTO...LOCATED A FEW MILES SOUTHEAST OF ISLAMORADA IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS.
A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLAND. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM..IF ANY...IS
EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVES SLOWLY
WESTWARD.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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- bostonseminole
- Tropical Storm
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-
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
Probably because of the dry air.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Meso
- Category 5
- Posts: 1609
- Age: 38
- Joined: Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:14 pm
- Location: South Africa
- Contact:
000
ABNT20 KNHC 300924
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT WED AUG 30 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND ANY
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT
MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.
ABNT20 KNHC 300924
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT WED AUG 30 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND ANY
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT
MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 146157
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
AN EASTERN ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 30W/31W S OF 17N
MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. LOW-MID LEVEL CLOUD MOTIONS ON NIGHT
CHANNEL VIS IMAGES AND THE FIRST FEW VIS IMAGES THIS MORNING
SHOW CLEAR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ABOUT THE WAVE AXIS. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE NOTED FROM
6N-14N WITHIN 200NM OF EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS...THOUGH
SHOWER AND TSTM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND ANY FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
8 AM Discussion.
MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. LOW-MID LEVEL CLOUD MOTIONS ON NIGHT
CHANNEL VIS IMAGES AND THE FIRST FEW VIS IMAGES THIS MORNING
SHOW CLEAR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ABOUT THE WAVE AXIS. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE NOTED FROM
6N-14N WITHIN 200NM OF EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS...THOUGH
SHOWER AND TSTM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND ANY FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
8 AM Discussion.
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[TROPICAL WAVES...
AN EASTERN ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 30W/31W S OF 17N
MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. LOW-MID LEVEL CLOUD MOTIONS ON NIGHT
CHANNEL VIS IMAGES AND THE FIRST FEW VIS IMAGES THIS MORNING
SHOW CLEAR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ABOUT THE WAVE AXIS. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE NOTED FROM
6N-14N WITHIN 200NM OF EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS...THOUGH
SHOWER AND TSTM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND ANY FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
Given climatology and the evidence of cylonic turning it's just a matter of time before this spins up.
AN EASTERN ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 30W/31W S OF 17N
MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. LOW-MID LEVEL CLOUD MOTIONS ON NIGHT
CHANNEL VIS IMAGES AND THE FIRST FEW VIS IMAGES THIS MORNING
SHOW CLEAR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ABOUT THE WAVE AXIS. CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE NOTED FROM
6N-14N WITHIN 200NM OF EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS...THOUGH
SHOWER AND TSTM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND ANY FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
Given climatology and the evidence of cylonic turning it's just a matter of time before this spins up.
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- TreasureIslandFLGal
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1581
- Age: 57
- Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2004 6:16 pm
- Location: Clearwater, Florida ~3 miles from the coast now. We finally moved safely off the barrier island!
- Meso
- Category 5
- Posts: 1609
- Age: 38
- Joined: Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:14 pm
- Location: South Africa
- Contact:
000
ABNT20 KNHC 301510
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED AUG 30 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
ABNT20 KNHC 301510
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED AUG 30 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
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- ConvergenceZone
- Category 5
- Posts: 5200
- Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
- Location: Northern California
Sanibel wrote:Atlantic wave train has gone flat like earlier conditions. Whole ITCZ from Africa looks sparse again.
2006 = bust year?
Sanibel, you are so right about these waves. I didn't expect them to go poof at all, due to better conditions overall and the time of year it is...
Well, I think we will know in a couple of weeks if this season is over or not, because by then it will be mid september and if we still don't have anything else by then,(or have anything looking like it will develop) then chances start going downill rapidly of the pattern all of the sudden changing....Yea I kow, there can be systems in October, but remember, there have been PLENTY of Octobers void of any activity as well, and if these problems persist into mid September, there's no reason think they won't continue.
It's all up the next 2 weeks. We'll wait and see what they bring.
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