Invest 91L Recon Thread

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Bane
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 690
Joined: Wed Sep 17, 2003 3:06 pm
Location: Ogden, NC
Contact:
Contact Bane

#161 Postby Bane » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:07 pm

Good decision.
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#162 Postby clfenwi » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:07 pm

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: INVEST (BBL)
Mission Number: 01
Flight ID: AF305
Observation Number: 11
Time: 1754Z
Latitude: 34.5°N
Longitude: 77.2°W
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 1000 feet
Flight level wind: SSE (150°) @ 20 mph
Temperature: 70°F
Dewpoint: 70°F
Weather: Thunderstorm
Sea level pressure: 1015 mb
Surface Wind: VRB @ 6 mph
Remarks: None
0 likes   
Top
mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#163 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:15 pm

040
SXXX50 KNHC 271803
AF305 01BBA INVEST HDOB 27 KNHC
1753. 3427N 07717W 00307 0029 132 015 208 208 016 00338 0000000000
1754 3427N 07715W 00302 0028 139 016 202 202 018 00333 0000000000
1754. 3427N 07713W 00304 0028 133 014 202 202 016 00334 0000000000
1755 3427N 07711W 00303 0026 148 017 202 202 017 00332 0000000000
1755. 3427N 07710W 00302 0027 150 019 196 196 020 00331 0000000000
1756 3428N 07708W 00305 0027 157 020 208 208 021 00335 0000000000
1756. 3428N 07706W 00302 0028 156 022 212 212 024 00332 0000000000
1757 3428N 07704W 00304 0028 154 025 214 214 026 00334 0000000000
1757. 3428N 07703W 00303 0028 152 026 214 214 027 00334 0000000000
1758 3429N 07701W 00303 0029 150 027 216 216 028 00334 0000000000
1758. 3427N 07700W 00307 0029 144 025 214 214 026 00338 0000000000
1759 3426N 07700W 00302 0027 135 024 208 208 025 00331 0000000000
1759. 3425N 07700W 00306 0025 132 022 194 194 024 00333 0000000000
1800 3423N 07700W 00300 0023 144 024 188 188 025 00326 0000000000
1800. 3422N 07700W 00306 0022 144 021 196 196 023 00330 0000000000
1801 3420N 07700W 00305 0021 133 019 206 206 020 00329 0000000000
1801. 3419N 07700W 00304 0016 129 019 198 198 022 00323 0000000000
1802 3418N 07700W 00302 0013 127 021 198 198 022 00317 0000000000
1802. 3416N 07700W 00304 0010 122 020 200 200 020 00316 0000000000
1803 3415N 07700W 00304 0008 108 018 210 210 020 00314 0000000000
0 likes   
Top
mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#164 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:17 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:
Contact Aquawind

#165 Postby Aquawind » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:18 pm

3rd times a charm? :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
terstorm1012
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1314
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 5:36 pm
Location: Millersburg, PA

#166 Postby terstorm1012 » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:19 pm

appears they're zeroing in on that microswirl that we were all excited about earlier.
0 likes   
Top
mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#167 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:21 pm

But at this point, some north or northeast winds should be found, and right now it's all east to southeast.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:
Contact Aquawind

#168 Postby Aquawind » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:21 pm

terstorm1012 wrote:appears they're zeroing in on that microswirl that we were all excited about earlier.


Yep, Logical if looking at radar.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:
Contact Aquawind

#169 Postby Aquawind » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:22 pm

mtm4319 wrote:But at this point, some north or northeast winds should be found, and right now it's all east to southeast.


Exactly nuttin..
0 likes   
Top
mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#170 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:22 pm

728
SXXX50 KNHC 271813
AF305 01BBA INVEST HDOB 28 KNHC
1803. 3413N 07700W 00304 0006 100 013 212 212 015 00312 0000000000
1804 3412N 07700W 00302 0006 086 006 212 212 008 00310 0000000000
1804. 3410N 07700W 00304 0006 301 002 210 210 004 00311 0000000000
1805 3409N 07701W 00306 0008 264 008 204 204 011 00315 0000000000
1805. 3407N 07701W 00300 0010 256 017 190 190 022 00313 0000000000
1806 3406N 07701W 00304 0012 250 023 186 186 024 00318 0000000100
1806. 3404N 07701W 00305 0013 248 022 188 188 023 00321 0000000000
1807 3403N 07701W 00302 0015 241 025 192 192 025 00319 0000000000
1807. 3401N 07701W 00304 0016 234 025 200 200 025 00323 0000000000
1808 3400N 07700W 00303 0018 229 025 202 202 026 00323 0000000000
1808. 3358N 07700W 00304 0019 229 026 206 206 027 00325 0000000000
1809 3357N 07700W 00303 0021 221 025 208 208 026 00326 0000000000
1809. 3356N 07700W 00304 0021 219 027 206 206 028 00328 0000000000
1810 3354N 07701W 00302 0022 219 028 212 212 029 00326 0000000000
1810. 3353N 07701W 00305 0023 219 029 216 216 029 00330 0000000000
1811 3352N 07701W 00304 0023 217 028 218 218 028 00329 0000000000
1811. 3350N 07701W 00303 0025 216 027 216 216 028 00331 0000000000
1812 3349N 07701W 00303 0026 214 027 216 216 027 00331 0000000000
1812. 3347N 07701W 00304 0026 210 026 216 216 027 00332 0000000000
1813 3346N 07701W 00303 0026 210 026 216 216 027 00330 0000000000
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34093
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#171 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:24 pm

086 - 301 - pretty close! We have WNW and nearly due E winds now...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
terstorm1012
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1314
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 5:36 pm
Location: Millersburg, PA

#172 Postby terstorm1012 » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:24 pm

yup. FYI apparently the commercial weather outlets believe this is a storm already, according to the peeps at Weather Underground (who are watching this with as much fervor as we are.) :cheesy:

but no surface obs support it, so i'm thinking this is a mess of thunderstorms on the east side of the low over GA.
0 likes   
Top
mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#173 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:25 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#174 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:25 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:086 - 301 - pretty close! We have WNW and nearly due E winds now...


Its so very very close. Just a little bit more north winds to be found.
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34093
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#175 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:25 pm

I think to safely declare a low level circulation, we needs numbers below 45 or above 315.
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#176 Postby clfenwi » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:26 pm

Storm Name: INVEST (BBL)
Mission Number: 01
Flight ID: AF305
Observation Number: 12
Time: 1815Z
Latitude: 33.6°N
Longitude: 77.0°W
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 1000 feet
Flight level wind: SSW (210°) @ 30 mph
Temperature: 72°F
Dewpoint: 72°F
Weather: Thunderstorm
Sea level pressure: 1015 mb
Surface Wind: S (190°) @ 23 mph
Remarks: None
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#177 Postby WindRunner » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:27 pm

Here's the circ on radar . . . not sure if they're finding it in the plane.

Image
0 likes   
Top
mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#178 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:30 pm

792
SXXX50 KNHC 271823
AF305 01BBA INVEST HDOB 29 KNHC
1813. 3345N 07701W 00304 0026 210 026 218 218 026 00332 0000000000
1814 3343N 07701W 00304 0027 208 026 218 218 027 00333 0000000000
1814. 3342N 07701W 00304 0028 205 024 218 218 024 00334 0000000000
1815 3341N 07701W 00304 0028 205 023 218 218 024 00334 0000000000
1815. 3339N 07701W 00303 0029 207 025 220 220 025 00333 0000000000
1816 3338N 07701W 00305 0029 209 027 218 218 029 00336 0000000000
1816. 3337N 07701W 00302 0030 211 026 212 212 028 00334 0000000000
1817 3335N 07701W 00304 0032 207 025 214 214 025 00338 0000000000
1817. 3334N 07701W 00302 0032 206 024 222 222 024 00337 0000000000
1818 3333N 07700W 00305 0032 201 025 222 222 028 00340 0000000000
1818. 3333N 07658W 00302 0034 196 028 220 220 030 00339 0000000000
1819 3333N 07656W 00304 0036 196 029 220 220 029 00342 0000000000
1819. 3333N 07654W 00303 0038 195 029 220 220 029 00343 0000000000
1820 3334N 07652W 00304 0037 193 029 220 220 029 00342 0000000000
1820. 3334N 07651W 00303 0035 193 030 220 220 030 00340 0000000000
1821 3335N 07649W 00304 0035 192 029 220 220 030 00341 0000000000
1821. 3336N 07647W 00303 0035 196 029 220 220 030 00340 0000000000
1822 3336N 07645W 00304 0035 199 029 220 220 029 00341 0000000000
1822. 3337N 07643W 00304 0035 200 029 222 222 030 00341 0000000000
1823 3337N 07641W 00303 0036 201 030 222 222 031 00341 0000000000
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34093
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#179 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:30 pm

WindRunner wrote:Here's the circ on radar . . . not sure if they're finding it in the plane.

Image


Is that an EYE in there?
0 likes   
Top
mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#180 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Jun 27, 2006 1:32 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: cajungal, dl20415, Google Adsense [Bot], IcyTundra, riapal, wileytheartist and 52 guests