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gatorcane wrote:Extremeweatherguy wrote:No post yet today.
There is honestly nothing to post - the tropics are more quite than even in the winter -
it's a dead out there right now and nothing looks to be forming anytime soon
Don't worry. I think that by the last 10 days of July we will see a completely different look to the Atlantic. Much more activity. JB said yesterday that he thinks we could have 2 storms by the end of the month.HurricaneHunter914 wrote:I hope that pulse gets here soon because I'm am bored to death without any TC's in the Atlantic and without any TC's the whole Talkin' Tropics forum starts to becom boring aswell.
HurricaneHunter914 wrote:I hope that pulse gets here soon because I'm am bored to death without any TC's in the Atlantic and without any TC's the whole Talkin' Tropics forum starts to becom boring aswell.
I do think at least, and perhaps 3 storms, will develop before the month ends for the atlantic basin.
Extremeweatherguy wrote:Interesting quote from JB's evening post:I do think at least, and perhaps 3 storms, will develop before the month ends for the atlantic basin.
He has not had an in-depth post about it today (I think he will tomorrow), but based on what he has said in the past and what other pro mets have said, I think he expects the upward motion and wet phase bulls eye of the MJO over the Pacific to move into the Atlantic within the next two weeks. We should know what his exact thoughts are, however, when he has a full tropical outlook. I am dying to hear what he has to say as well.SouthFloridawx wrote:Extremeweatherguy wrote:Interesting quote from JB's evening post:I do think at least, and perhaps 3 storms, will develop before the month ends for the atlantic basin.
How does he think the conditions currently in the atlantic are going to change from what they are now? Meaning the high upper level winds over the caribbean and dry air in the eastern atlantic.
Extremeweatherguy wrote:JB's post today said that the tropics will probably become the big story once again after the heat in the plains dies down. He said that the eastward movement of the upward pulse (currently in the pacific) could set off 2 or 3 tropical developments! The first problem is from the system off the NC coast which could either speed off NE or miss the connection and move up the eastern seaboard. The second problem is the wave near 54W 16N. He said that wave should be in the SW Atlantic toward the end of this week or the beginning of next week and could present some problems. Another area he is concerned about is an alley from the Caribbean into the SW Gulf which will have to be watched in the coming weeks. Basically he is saying to expect the lid to come off the tropics and for a major upswing in activity to occur between now and the end of the month.
Could get interesting...
TampaFl wrote:Extremeweatherguy wrote:JB's post today said that the tropics will probably become the big story once again after the heat in the plains dies down. He said that the eastward movement of the upward pulse (currently in the pacific) could set off 2 or 3 tropical developments! The first problem is from the system off the NC coast which could either speed off NE or miss the connection and move up the eastern seaboard. The second problem is the wave near 54W 16N. He said that wave should be in the SW Atlantic toward the end of this week or the beginning of next week and could present some problems. Another area he is concerned about is an alley from the Caribbean into the SW Gulf which will have to be watched in the coming weeks. Basically he is saying to expect the lid to come off the tropics and for a major upswing in activity to occur between now and the end of the month.
Could get interesting...
With all due respect, JB did not say this would move up the eastern seaboard if it misses the connection. Quoting JB, and I quote
"The models take it off to the northeast, but I will see if step one becomes step two before deciding on that. It could miss the connection with the trof going by Tuesday and if developed, provide folks on the east coast with something to be concerned with besides the air conditioning " end of quote.
No where does it say it will move up the eastern seaboard. Just want to set the record straight.
Robert
Extremeweatherguy wrote:TampaFl wrote:Extremeweatherguy wrote:JB's post today said that the tropics will probably become the big story once again after the heat in the plains dies down. He said that the eastward movement of the upward pulse (currently in the pacific) could set off 2 or 3 tropical developments! The first problem is from the system off the NC coast which could either speed off NE or miss the connection and move up the eastern seaboard. The second problem is the wave near 54W 16N. He said that wave should be in the SW Atlantic toward the end of this week or the beginning of next week and could present some problems. Another area he is concerned about is an alley from the Caribbean into the SW Gulf which will have to be watched in the coming weeks. Basically he is saying to expect the lid to come off the tropics and for a major upswing in activity to occur between now and the end of the month.
Could get interesting...
With all due respect, JB did not say this would move up the eastern seaboard if it misses the connection. Quoting JB, and I quote
"The models take it off to the northeast, but I will see if step one becomes step two before deciding on that. It could miss the connection with the trof going by Tuesday and if developed, provide folks on the east coast with something to be concerned with besides the air conditioning " end of quote.
No where does it say it will move up the eastern seaboard. Just want to set the record straight.
Robert
that quote you just posted proves my point. Basically he is saying that if it missed the connection it could move up the east coast.
Remember I post summaries of his column NOT exact word for word information.
He says it could give those along the east coast "something to be concerned with besides the air conditioning". To me, and I am sure most others, this would imply that the system could be a threat to the east coast.
