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chadtm80

#141 Postby chadtm80 » Fri Jun 27, 2003 8:37 am

Sorry Wxman.. I slept in to late today.. LOL Its updated
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#142 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 27, 2003 10:08 am

Tropical weather outlook 11:00 AM EDT
6/27/03
Atlantic
Luis Martinez (Cycloneye)

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
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Re: Old Satellite?

#143 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Jun 27, 2003 11:38 am

wxman57 wrote:That picture you posted vbhou doesn't look anything like the image I'm looking at dated 6:24am today. There is a lone cluster of storms inland over the Yuctan north of Belize and another over western Cuba moving NE toward the Bahamas. There was a flare-up of tstms west of Jamaica late last night, though, but that didn't last. I see another single thunderstorm east of the Bahamas. Perhaps that image was from 06Z? In any case, if this wave is to develop, it needs to have a stable cluster of storms, not these transitory flare-ups.

I can't see any evidence of a circulation center at any level. But one thing I do notice is that the trof through the Bahamas to the Yucatan does appear to be weakening, so we can't give up on this thing. I don't think we'll see any development through 48 hours.


Unfortunately, that pic was from an earlier posted update and I didn't know how to take it down. Also I didn't have the software I thought I had to change out the picture. That will change later today I hope. It was also 4am Houston time when I did that update so I could sleep in. :roll: :lol:

I in no way have given up on this systemand I must agree with the 48 hour no development of consequence window. The upper air in the S GOM has got to settle a lot for anything to happen besides a lot of rain. I'm starting to wonder if the progged split I have seen hinted at in models is going to happen or not though. If it does we may have two small ball games this week, one which could interfere with my FL trip.
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#144 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 27, 2003 4:06 pm

Tropical weather outlook 5:00 PM EDT
6/27/03
Atlantic basin
Luis Martinez (Cycloneye) Storm2k forecaster

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
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#145 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 27, 2003 8:53 pm

Tropical weather outlook 10:00 PM EDT 6/27/03
Atlantic basin
Luis Martinez (Cycloneye) Storm2k forecaster

Outlook is at this link below

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
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#146 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jun 28, 2003 8:03 am

Tropical weather outlook 8:00 AM EDT
6/28/03 Atlantic
Luis Martinez (Cycloneye) Storm2k forecaster

Outlook is at link below :darrow:

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
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#147 Postby vbhoutex » Sat Jun 28, 2003 8:24 am

cycloneye wrote:Tropical weather outlook 8:00 AM EDT
6/28/03 Atlantic
Luis Martinez (Cycloneye) Storm2k forecaster

Outlook is at link below :darrow:

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm


Actually Luis and I uploaded at the same time(I slept in :oops: ) and you will see mine.
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#148 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Jun 28, 2003 3:57 pm

The tropical weather outlook for the North Atlantic, Caribbean, and GOM is posted in Storm2k's Tropical Weather ... :darrow: :darrow: :darrow:

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
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#149 Postby Rainband » Sat Jun 28, 2003 4:15 pm

Stormsfury wrote:The tropical weather outlook for the North Atlantic, Caribbean, and GOM is posted in Storm2k's Tropical Weather ... :darrow: :darrow: :darrow:

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
May want to edit that :wink: TD#3 is born.
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#150 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Jun 28, 2003 4:17 pm

Yep, Rainband ... the 1st advisory will be out on the 11 pm from the National Hurricane Center ... so here's the edit ...

Actually, now with all kinds of confusion setting in ... it's back to an invest again...
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#151 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jun 28, 2003 8:44 pm

Tropical weather outlook 10:00 PM EDT
6/28/03 atlantic basin
Luis Martinez (Cycloneye)

Storm2k forecaster

Outlook is at link below. :darrow:

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
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#152 Postby vbhoutex » Sun Jun 29, 2003 7:26 am

The 7am CDT Atlantic Basin Tropical update for Sunday June 29, 2003 can be found at http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

As of 7:30am the map associated with it has not been updated.
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adv #1

#153 Postby wrkh99 » Sun Jun 29, 2003 9:54 am

posted June 29, 2003 10:40 AM
TROPICAL STORM BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2003

...TROPICAL STORM BILL FORMS IN SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SAN
LUIS PASS TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BILL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.5 WEST OR ABOUT 460 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.

BILL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES MAINLY TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...23.5 N... 91.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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#154 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Jun 29, 2003 3:43 pm

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#155 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 29, 2003 8:21 pm

Tropical weather outlook and discussion on tropical storm Bill 9:30 PM EDT
6/29/03 Luis Martinez (Cycloneye) Link below for discussion :darrow:

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
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#156 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Jun 30, 2003 5:32 am

The 5am CDT Atlantic Basin and TS Bill update for Monday June 30, 2003 can be found at http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
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#157 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Jun 30, 2003 11:05 am

The 11am CDT Atlantic Basin and TS Bill update for Monday June 30, 2003 can be found at http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

TS Bill will be making landfall within the hour just SW of Morgan City, La. Flooding is arleady being reported in SE MS including road closures. St. Bernard Parish in LA is under a tornado warning.

Everyone be safe and report in if you can.
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#158 Postby Lindaloo » Mon Jun 30, 2003 2:05 pm

We have just been issued another Flood warning here in Jackson County. The NWS just came through on the radio with the warning. It is starting to get dark again outside.
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#159 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Jun 30, 2003 2:09 pm

Lindaloo wrote:We have just been issued another Flood warning here in Jackson County. The NWS just came through on the radio with the warning. It is starting to get dark again outside.


Linda stay safe!! Your area is at risk for water spouts coming on shore for the next hour or so according to TWC storm experts. I know you have had way to much rain already, but it looks like this latest is going to be training over your area for a while. Be watchful! Thanks so much for taking the time to update us during this very stressful time for you and yours!! :D
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#160 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Jun 30, 2003 2:12 pm

A special 2pm CDT Atlantic Basin TS Bill update for Monday June 30, 2003 can be found at http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

TS Bill has made landfall just SW of Morgan City, La. Flooding is arleady being reported in SE MS including road closures.

Everyone be safe and report in if you can.
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