Ex - Tropical Cyclone INGRID (22P)

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#141 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Mar 10, 2005 11:09 pm

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ONCE AGAIN, IMPRESSIVE INGRID. 11/0225 UTC 12.5S 139.1E T4.5/4.5 INGRID -- South Pacific Ocean
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#142 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Mar 10, 2005 11:39 pm

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

TOP PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 35
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:00 pm CST Friday 11 March 2005

A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities
between MANINGRIDA and GROOTE EYLANDT, including NHULUNBUY.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends west to DARWIN, including the TIWI ISLANDS.

At 1 pm CST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID CATEGORY 3 was centred in the Gulf of
Carpentaria about 250 kilometres east of Nhulunbuy and 330 kilometres east
northeast of Alyangula, moving west northwest at 15 kilometres per hour towards
the coast. The cyclone is slowly intensifying.

VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 200 kilometres per hour are expected
to affect the coast near NHULUNBUY early Saturday morning.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are expected to develop between
GROOTE EYLANDT and NHULUNBUY later this evening and extend towards MANINGRIDA
by Saturday afternoon. GALES may extend further to the west, including DARWIN
and the TIWI ISLANDS, by Sunday afternoon.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between CAPE
SHIELD and MANINGRIDA.

HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northern TOP END.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 1 pm CST:
. Centre located near...... 12.5 degrees South 139.1 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west northwest at 15 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 175 kilometres per hour slowly intensifying
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 3
. Central pressure......... 972 hectoPascals

REPEATING: The VERY DESTRUCTIVE core of TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID is expected to
affect the coast near NHULUNBUY early Saturday morning.

The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 5 pm CST.

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TC INGRID REACHES CAT. 3 UNDER AUSTRALIAN STANDARDS AND REGAINS "SEVERE" STATE.
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#143 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 11, 2005 5:55 am

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

40:2:2:24:13S138E999:11:00
PANPAN

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 0730 UTC 11 MARCH 2005

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone INGRID estimated within 10 nautical miles of
12.4 S 138.7 E moving WEST NORTHWEST at 10 knots. Central pressure 970 hPa.

AREA AFFECTED
Within 80 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Sustained winds to 70 knots near centre increasing to 80/90 knots within 12-24
hours.
Winds above 64 knots within 15 nautical miles with very high seas.
Winds above 48 knots within 40 nautical miles with very rough to high seas and
moderate to heavy swell developing.
Winds above 34 knots within 80 nautical miles of centre with rough to very rough
seas and moderate to heavy swell.

1800 UTC 11 Mar: 12.1 S 136.9 E 960hPa. Winds to 80 knots near centre.
0600 UTC 12 Mar: 11.6 S 135.0 E 955hPa. Winds to 90 knots near centre.

REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Image

Image

TC INGRID INTENSIFIES AT A QUICK SPEED, THE NORTHERN TERRITORY SHOULD BE PREPARE FOR AT LEAST A BRUSH THROUGH ITS NORTHERN COAST. INGRID SHOULD CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY.
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#144 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 11, 2005 9:09 am

Image

TC INGRID SEEMS SPLENDID IN THIS RADAR IMAGE OF ITS PASSAGE NE OF THE NORTHERN TERRITORY. AMAZING!
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#145 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 11, 2005 9:32 am

Image

TC INGRID HAS EXPLODED, THIS IS EXPLOSIVE CYCLOGENESIS AT ITS BEST. THE SYSTEM IS TAKING REALLY GOOD ADVANTAGE OF THE WARM WATERS OF THE TIMOR SEA.
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#146 Postby P.K. » Fri Mar 11, 2005 10:09 am

HURAKAN wrote:TC INGRID HAS EXPLODED, THIS IS EXPLOSIVE CYCLOGENESIS AT ITS BEST. THE SYSTEM IS TAKING REALLY GOOD ADVANTAGE OF THE WARM WATERS OF THE TIMOR SEA.[/i][/b]


:eek: :eek: Wasn't that strong when I looked just this morning. Almost gone round in a complete circle now.

Different time zone to Brisbane, only just worked out that was GMT+11. :lol: Now GMT+ 10 1/2 . Strange that the timezones differ with both latitude and longitude. http://www.worldtimezone.com/time-australia24.htm

IDDP0002
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

TOP PRIORITY



TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 39
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 12:00 am CST Saturday 12 March 2005

A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities
between CROKER ISLAND and ALYANGULA, including NHULUNBUY.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends west to DARWIN, including the TIWI ISLANDS.

At 11.30pm CST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID CATEGORY 4 was centred in the Gulf
of Carpentaria about 65 kilometres east of NHULUNBUY and 140 kilometres south
southeast of CAPE WESSEL, moving west northwest at 20 kilometres per hour
towards NHULUNBUY. This very dangerous cyclone is continuing to intensify.

VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 230 kilometres per hour are expected
to affect the coast near NHULUNBUY in the next three hours, and extend to ELCHO
ISLAND early in the morning.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are currently developing on the
coast between ALYANGULA and NHULUNBUY and will extend along the north coast to
CROKER ISLAND by Saturday evening.

GALES may extend further to the west, including DARWIN and the TIWI ISLANDS, by
Sunday afternoon.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between CAPE
SHIELD and GOULBURN ISLAND with higher than usual tides west to CROKER ISLAND.

HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northern TOP END.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 11.30 pm CST:
. Centre located near...... 12.1 degrees South 137.4 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west northwest at 20 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 230 kilometres per hour intensifying
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 4
. Central pressure......... 955 hectoPascals

REPEATING: The VERY DESTRUCTIVE core of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID is
expected to affect the coast near NHULUNBUY in the next three hours.

The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 1 am CST.

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
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#147 Postby P.K. » Fri Mar 11, 2005 11:35 am

11/1525 UTC 12.0S 137.1E T6.0/6.0 INGRID -- South Pacific Ocean
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#148 Postby P.K. » Fri Mar 11, 2005 12:41 pm

Gusts back up to 260kph. :eek:

IDDP0002
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

TOP PRIORITY



TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 42
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 3:00 am CST Saturday 12 March 2005

A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities
between CROKER ISLAND and ALYANGULA, including NHULUNBUY.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends west to DARWIN, including the TIWI ISLANDS.

At 2.30am CST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID CATEGORY 4 was located about 30
kilometres north northeast of NHULUNBUY and 145 kilometres east of ELCHO ISLAND,
moving west northwest at 20 kilometres per hour. This very dangerous cyclone is
continuing to intensify.

VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 260 kilometres per hour are affecting the
coast near NHULUNBUY, and are expected to extend to ELCHO ISLAND during the
morning.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are currently being experienced on
the coast between ALYANGULA and NHULUNBUY and will extend along the north coast
to CROKER ISLAND by Saturday evening.

GALES may extend further to the west, including DARWIN and the TIWI ISLANDS, by
Sunday afternoon.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between CAPE
SHIELD and GOULBURN ISLAND with higher than usual tides west to CROKER ISLAND.

HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northern TOP END.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 2.30 am CST:
. Centre located near...... 11.9 degrees South 136.9 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west northwest at 20 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 260 kilometres per hour intensifying
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 4
. Central pressure......... 950 hectoPascals

REPEATING: The VERY DESTRUCTIVE core of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID is
affecting the coast near NHULUNBUY, and are expected to extend to ELCHO ISLAND
during the morning..

The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 4 am CST.

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Image
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#149 Postby Huckster » Fri Mar 11, 2005 2:23 pm

Here's a really nice IR loop showing all of Australia. Both cyclones are very visible. Too bad it's only four frames long.

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDE00902.loop.shtml

Here's another page with other settings for IR and Visible.

http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/satellite/
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#150 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 11, 2005 4:50 pm

Image

DARWIN, GET READY TO FEEL SOME OF INGRID'S POWER.
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#151 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 11, 2005 5:46 pm

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

TOP PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 47
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 8:00 am CST Saturday 12 March 2005

A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities
between CAPE DON and CAPE SHIELD, including NHULUNBUY.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends west to DALY RIVER MOUTH, including the TIWI ISLANDS and
DARWIN.

At 7.30am CST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID CATEGORY 4 was located about 65
kilometres east northeast of ELCHO ISLAND and 95 kilometres northwest of
NHULUNBUY, moving west northwest at 20 kilometres per hour.

VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 260 kilometres per hour are expected to
affect the coast near ELCHO ISLAND in the next few hours.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are currently being experienced on
the coast between CAPE SHIELD and MILINGIMBI, including NHULUNBUY, and will
extend along the north coast to CROKER ISLAND by tonight.

GALES may extend further west to DALY RIVER MOUTH, including DARWIN and the TIWI
ISLANDS, by Monday morning.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between CAPE
SHIELD and GOULBURN ISLAND with higher than usual tides west to CROKER ISLAND.

HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northern TOP END.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 7.30 am CST:
. Centre located near...... 11.7 degrees South 136.1 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west northwest at 20 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 260 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 4
. Central pressure......... 950 hectoPascals

REPEATING: VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 260 kilometres per hour are
expected to affect the coast near ELCHO ISLAND in the next few hours.

The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 9 am CST.

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Image

TC INGRID MAINTAINS ITS INTENSITY AND TRACK, ADVISORIES ARE NOW EVERY 1 HOUR.

QUESTION: SINCE TRACY 1974, HAS ANY OTHER CYCLONE OF INGRID'S MAGNITUDE AFFECTED DARWIN?
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#152 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 11, 2005 6:45 pm

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 48
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 9:00 am CST Saturday 12 March 2005

A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities
between CAPE DON and CAPE SHIELD, including NHULUNBUY.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends west to DALY RIVER MOUTH, including the TIWI ISLANDS and
DARWIN.

At 8.30am CST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID CATEGORY 4 was located about 55
kilometres northeast of ELCHO ISLAND and 105 kilometres west northwest of
NHULUNBUY, moving west northwest at 20 kilometres per hour.

VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 260 kilometres per hour are currently
affecting the coast near ELCHO ISLAND.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are currently being experienced on
the coast between CAPE SHIELD and MILINGIMBI, including NHULUNBUY, and will
extend along the north coast to CROKER ISLAND by tonight.

GALES may extend further west to DALY RIVER MOUTH, including DARWIN and the TIWI
ISLANDS, by Monday morning.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between ELCHO
ISLAND and CAPE DON.

HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northern TOP END.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 8.30 am CST:
. Centre located near...... 11.7 degrees South 136.0 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west northwest at 20 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 260 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 4
. Central pressure......... 950 hectoPascals

REPEATING: VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 260 kilometres per hour are
currently affecting the coast near ELCHO ISLAND.

The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 10 am CST.

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

NOTHING HAS CHANGED SINCE THE LAST HOUR, EXCEPT ONE DEGREE TO THE WEST.
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#153 Postby AUSSKY » Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:40 pm

From this morning's Austrop update:
SEVERE TC INGRID (cat 4) 941hPa has passed near to the north east corner of Arnhemland NT Australia. Ingrid developed an eye feature yesterday afternoon and produced some spectacular radar images passing near to the GOVE airport radar facility. INGRID exhibits very good low level convergence (small) and tight efficient upper divergence, the central core is now passing over the Wessel island group and moving west north west near 12 to 14 kph. Located over SST's near 30°C...The projected motion remains west north west and along the northern coast of the Northern Territory and remaining a severe storm with wind gusts between 200 and 250kph near the central core and eye wall...INGRID remains a very dangerous storm....
http://www.stormchasers.au.com/current.htm
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#154 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Mar 11, 2005 8:24 pm

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 49
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 10:00 am CST Saturday 12 March 2005

A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities
between CAPE DON and CAPE SHIELD, including NHULUNBUY.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends west to DALY RIVER MOUTH, including the TIWI ISLANDS and
DARWIN.

At 9.30am CST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID CATEGORY 5 was located about 50
kilometres northeast of ELCHO ISLAND and 115 kilometres east northeast of
MILINGIMBI, moving west northwest at 20 kilometres per hour.

The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID, with gusts to 290
kilometres per hour, is currently affecting the coast near ELCHO ISLAND.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are currently being experienced on
the coast between CAPE SHIELD and MILINGIMBI, including NHULUNBUY, and will
extend along the north coast to CROKER ISLAND by tonight.

GALES may extend further west to DALY RIVER MOUTH, including DARWIN and the TIWI
ISLANDS, by Monday morning.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between ELCHO
ISLAND and CAPE DON.

HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northern TOP END.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 9.30 am CST:
. Centre located near...... 11.6 degrees South 135.9 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west northwest at 20 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 290 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 5
. Central pressure......... 938 hectoPascals

REPEATING: VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 290 kilometres per hour are
currently affecting the coast near ELCHO ISLAND.

The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 11 am CST.

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre :eek: :eek: :eek:
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#155 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 11, 2005 8:36 pm

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

TOP PRIORITY



TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 50
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 11:00 am CST Saturday 12 March 2005

A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities between
POINT STUART and CAPE SHIELD, including the COBURG PENINSULA.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends west to DALY RIVER MOUTH, including the TIWI ISLANDS and
DARWIN.

At 10.30am CST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID CATEGORY 5 was located about 170
kilometres east northeast of MANINGRIDA and 105 kilometres east northeast of
MILINGIMBI, moving west northwest at 20 kilometres per hour.

The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID is no longer
affecting the coast. However, VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS may develop further west
along the coast later.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour continue to be experienced on the
coast between CAPE SHIELD and MILINGIMBI, including NHULUNBUY and ELCHO ISLAND,
and will extend along the north coast to CROKER ISLAND by tonight.

GALES may extend west to DARWIN by Sunday evening and further west to DALY RIVER
MOUTH by Monday morning.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between ELCHO
ISLAND and CAPE DON.

HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northern TOP END.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 10.30 am CST:
. Centre located near...... 11.6 degrees South 135.7 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west northwest at 20 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 290 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 5
. Central pressure......... 938 hectoPascals

REPEATING: VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS have now moved west of ELCHO ISLAND. A CYCLONE
WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities between POINT STUART
and CAPE SHIELD, including the COBURG PENINSULA.

The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 2 pm CST.

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

FOR THE SECOND TIME IN ITS LIFE, TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID REACHES CAT. 5 UNDER THE AUSTRALIAN STANDARDS. THIS IS A FINE CYCLONE!
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#156 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 11, 2005 9:06 pm

Image

Name: INGRID
Severity Category: 5
Situation At: 10:30AM CST Saturday 12 March 2005
Warning Area: Point Stuart to Cape Shield, including the Coburg Peninsula
Watch Area: Daly River Mouth to Point Stuart, including Darwin and the Tiwi Islands
Location: 11.6S 135.7E
Recent Movement: WNW at 20 km/h
Remarks: The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID is no longer affecting the coast. However, VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS may develop further west along the coast later.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour continue to be experienced on the
coast between CAPE SHIELD and MILINGIMBI, including NHULUNBUY and ELCHO ISLAND, and will extend along the north coast to CROKER ISLAND by tonight.

GALES may extend west to DARWIN by Sunday evening and further west to DALY RIVER MOUTH by Monday morning.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between ELCHO ISLAND and CAPE DON.

HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises in the northern TOP END.

The next threat map will be issued at 2:00PM CST Saturday 12 March 2005.

INGRID: "LA CREME DE LA CREME"
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#157 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 11, 2005 11:45 pm

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 51
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:06 pm CST Saturday 12 March 2005

A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities between
POINT STUART and NHULUNBUY, including the COBOURG PENINSULA.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends west to DALY RIVER MOUTH, including the TIWI ISLANDS and
DARWIN.

The CYCLONE WATCH between NHULUNBUY and CAPE SHIELD has been cancelled.

At 1pm CST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID CATEGORY 5 was located off the north
coast about 130 kilometres east northeast of MANINGRIDA and 70 kilometres
northeast of MILINGIMBI, moving west northwest at 20 kilometres per hour,
parallel to the coast.

The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID is currently not
affecting the coast. However, DESTRUCTIVE WINDS are expected to develop along
the north coast between MANINGRIDA and CAPE DON, including GOULBURN ISLAND and
CROKER ISLAND overnight. VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds may affect these areas later on
Sunday morning.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are being experienced on the coast
between NHULUNBUY and MILINGIMBI, including ELCHO ISLAND, and will extend along
the north coast to CROKER ISLAND by tonight. GALES have eased between NHULUNBUY
and CAPE SHIELD, however squally winds may be experienced.

GALES may extend west to DARWIN by Sunday evening and further west to DALY RIVER
MOUTH by Monday morning.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between
MANINGRIDA and CAPE DON, including GOULBURN ISLAND and CROKER ISLAND. ABNORMALLY
HIGH TIDES could cause SERIOUS FLOODING at the coast between ELCHO ISLAND and
MANINGRIDA.

HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northern TOP END.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 1 pm CST:
. Centre located near...... 11.6 degrees South 135.3 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 15 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west northwest at 20 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 290 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 5
. Central pressure......... 938 hectoPascals

REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities
between POINT STUART and NHULUNBUY, including the COBOURG PENINSULA.

The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 5 pm CST.

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TC INGRID HOLDS ITS PLACE.
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#158 Postby AUSSKY » Sat Mar 12, 2005 1:53 am

Austrop update 1530AEDST (0430UTC):
At 1500hrs AEDST SEVERE TC INGRID was located near 135E and 11.93S moving west northwest at 15 to 17kph. A small eye feature has occasionally appeared but become upper cloud sheathed at 1500hrs. Upper divergence remains very efficient with local strong surface convergence, radar returns show a very pronounced but small internal eye feature with occasional secondary outer eye wall features. Central pressure appears to be near 929hPa and deepening slowly, located over SST's near 30c. The projected tracking appears now to be west northwest with marked mid to upper steering from the southeast, animated sat pic analysis show a strong south-southeast to north-northwest flow across central Australia with steering forcing affecting the equatorward motion of INGRID..... the unusual steering forcing appears to be caused by mid and upper affects of TV WILLY located off the central west Australian coast. In respect to continued motion of Ingrid a more westerly bearing is anticipated after 2300hrs AEDST.
http://www.stormchasers.au.com/current.htm
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#159 Postby senorpepr » Sat Mar 12, 2005 3:47 am

IDDP0002
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

TOP PRIORITY



TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 52
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 6:00 pm CST Saturday 12 March 2005

[NOTE: Corrected repeat details at bottom of advice].
A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities between
DARWIN and ELCHO ISLAND, including the COBOURG PENINSULA, and now including
DARWIN and the TIWI ISLANDS.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends south to DALY RIVER MOUTH.

The CYCLONE WARNING between NHULUNBUY and ELCHO ISLAND has been cancelled.

At 4pm CST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID CATEGORY 5 was located off the north
coast about 55 kilometres north of MILINGIMBI and 165 kilometres east of
GOULBURN ISLAND, moving west at 20 kilometres per hour, parallel to the coast.

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS are expected to develop along the north coast between
MANINGRIDA and CAPE DON in about 12 hours. The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of SEVERE
TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID should cross the COBOURG PENINSULA coast in 12 to 24
hours and may pass near GOULBURN or CROKER ISLANDS before moving into the VAN
DIEMEN GULF.

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are being experienced on the coast
between ELCHO ISLAND and MILINGIMBI, and will extend along the north coast
tonight to CROKER ISLAND by Sunday morning. GALES have eased between ELCHO
ISLAND and NHULUNBUY, however squally winds may be experienced.

GALES may extend west to the TIWI ISLANDS by Sunday evening, and southwest to
DARWIN by Sunday night and further west to DALY RIVER MOUTH by Monday afternoon.


DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between
MANINGRIDA and CAPE DON, including GOULBURN ISLAND and CROKER ISLAND. ABNORMALLY
HIGH TIDES could cause SERIOUS FLOODING at the coast between ELCHO ISLAND and
MANINGRIDA.

HEAVY RAIN may cause localised flooding and significant river and stream rises
in the northern TOP END.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE INGRID at 4 pm CST:
. Centre located near...... 11.6 degrees South 134.9 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 15 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west at 20 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 320 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 5
. Central pressure......... 925 hectoPascals

REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities
between DARWIN and ELCHO ISLAND, including the COBOURG PENINSULA and the TIWI
ISLANDS. [CORRECTED DETAILS]

The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 8 pm CST.

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
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#160 Postby senorpepr » Sat Mar 12, 2005 3:48 am

IDD20130
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
Northern Territory Region
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre

40:2:2:24:12S136E999:11:00
PANPAN

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 0600 UTC 12 MARCH 2005

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone INGRID estimated within 10 nautical miles of
11.6 S 134.9 E moving WEST at 10 knots. Central pressure 925 hPa.

AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Sustained winds to 120 knots near centre.
Winds above 64 knots within 10 nautical miles with very high seas and heavy
swell.
Winds above 48 knots within 25 nautical miles with very rough to high seas and
heavy swell.
Winds above 34 knots within 60 nautical miles of centre with rough to very rough
seas and moderate to heavy swell.

1800 UTC 12 Mar: 11.4 S 133.5 E 925hPa. Winds to 120 knots near centre.
0600 UTC 13 Mar: 11.6 S 132.3 E 925hPa. Winds to 120 knots near centre.


REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.



DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

160 mph (1-min avg)
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