T.S Florence,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread #3

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Josephine96

#121 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:22 pm

Any chance we'll have Florence soon so that another name can be crossed off? lol.. :wink:
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Sanibel
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#122 Postby Sanibel » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:22 pm

The last center I was following today was Derek's center.

This is weird.
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#123 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:24 pm

When that convection fires over that LLC...Then maybe at 5am.
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canegrl04
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#124 Postby canegrl04 » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:27 pm

This storm can't go to the Carolinas :grrr: That area has already been flooded out by Ernesto,along with eastern VA where some of my family live.Let it go into the GOM or be a fish
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Josephine96

#125 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:29 pm

Maybe the storm will pull a Juan and go up to Canada..
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brunota2003
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#126 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:32 pm

canegrl04 wrote:This storm can't go to the Carolinas :grrr: That area has already been flooded out by Ernesto,along with eastern VA where some of my family live.Let it go into the GOM or be a fish
I second that...over half of Eastern NC is still under flood warnings due to flooded roads and creeks/rivers, good news is flooding is subsiding...finally!!! bad news...soils are saturated, and we are suppose to get heavy rains tomorrow, tomorrow night, and Wednesday morning...so even more flooding is possible...then if TD #6 comes this way... :roll:
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Sanibel
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#127 Postby Sanibel » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:40 pm

No matter what is spinning underneath, the convection is arranged along a synoptic border in a linear fashion like a wave. Until it snaps out of this border/wave pattern the system won't organize like it needs to.


I'm seeing a southern inflow into the deep convection area to the ENE meaning the elongated LLC has part of itself under the convection blob.
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shaggy
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#128 Postby shaggy » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:45 pm

its got to survive the next few days before anyone can even specualte about its future and i have already seen alot of people talking about its threat to the EC.The 5 day position by the NHC is stay WELL east of any land and leaves plenty of room for a full recurve which we all want to see.
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wzrgirl1
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#129 Postby wzrgirl1 » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:46 pm

anyone have a link to the new model plots?
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#130 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:47 pm

wzrgirl1 wrote:anyone have a link to the new model plots?


http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/06090500
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#131 Postby shaggy » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:47 pm

wzrgirl1 wrote:anyone have a link to the new model plots?


http://weather.net-waves.com/model.php
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#132 Postby wzrgirl1 » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:48 pm

thanks you!!! :D
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#133 Postby ROCK » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:49 pm

wzrgirl1 wrote:anyone have a link to the new model plots?



http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/ ... /index.htm

you can look at these but I am feeling that they are going to change drastically left if that center to the SW becomes the dominant one.
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#134 Postby SCMedic » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:49 pm

canegrl04 wrote:This storm can't go to the Carolinas :grrr: That area has already been flooded out by Ernesto,along with eastern VA where some of my family live.Let it go into the GOM or be a fish


I read a comment on another board referencing "Hugo".. :(
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#135 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:51 pm

I think TD 06 is going to have a little bit better environment to work with tomorrow.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
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Josephine96

#136 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:52 pm

My guess is you're right, south.. Florence can wait till tomorrow..
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Trugunzn
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#137 Postby Trugunzn » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:54 pm

looking better:

Image
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AZRainman
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#138 Postby AZRainman » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:57 pm

Image
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Josephine96

#139 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Sep 04, 2006 8:58 pm

or tonight if it's got 40 mph winds.. :wink:
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MiamiensisWx

#140 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Sep 04, 2006 9:10 pm

gbear wrote:Image


:fools: :fools: :fools: :fools:

:roflmao: :notworthy: :roflmao: :notworthy:

One of the BEST ones yet!
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