92L Recon Reports

#121 Postby **Ivanhater** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 5:04 pm

well thats funny, it has already been developing

clfenwi · #122 Postby **clfenwi** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 5:09 pm

OB 17
Time: 2157Z
Position: 19.2 North // 68.1 West
Flight Level: 7330 meters
FL Winds: 11 knots // 060
Temp/Dewpoint (C): -18/-28
Weather: Scattered clouds
400 Millibar Height: 7630 meters

URNT11 KNHC 292204
97779 21574 60192 68100 73300 06011 68781 /5763
RMK AF304 01FFA INVEST OB 17

#123 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 5:12 pm

Well they did not stayed in ST Croix after all.

x-y-no · #124 Postby **x-y-no** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 5:40 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:What a waste of money.

I agree we had the surface obs/visible to tell us that this system was a tropical distrabance. But did not have the west wind to become a depression. If it doe's not become a depression durning the next 24 hours before moving into DR/Hati you can forget development of this system.

Independent of looking for a closed circulation, recon gathers a lot of data which goes into the model initalizations.

I wouldn't call this a waste.

Website · #125 Postby **Brent** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 5:52 pm

Thunder44 wrote:What a waste of money.

They got bored from no flights for a few days.

clfenwi · #126 Postby **clfenwi** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 6:27 pm

URNT11 KNHC 292323
97779 23214 60240 74000 73200 16018 70852 /5765
RMK AF304 01FFA INVEST OB 19

#127 Postby **JPmia** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 6:35 pm

I agree X-Y....I wouldn't call any flight a waste of money...they could do research and many other activities that could provide benefits in the future and model guidance. Geez folks have some faith in the NHC. :lol:

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #128 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 7:06 pm

By the time there recon gets into this tomarrow afternoon it will most likely be moving over DR/hati. Yes its looking like its trying to develop but will it have the time to do so. Jeanne formed alot like this system but this system is much much weaker. The DR/hati distoryed Jeanne to the point that she had to redevelop. I don't have alot of faith for this sysem being strong enough to do so.

There appears to be a broad LLC, but with no recon to watching it there is really nothing to the south. To give us any signs if theres a developing west wind.

clfenwi · #129 Postby **clfenwi** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 7:13 pm

URNT11 KNHC 300001
97779 23584 60260 77000 73300 11014 70818 /5765
RMK AF304 01FFA INVEST OB 20
LAST REPORT.

Per POD, next mission launches mid-morning tomorrow to arrive in the system in the afternoon.

92L Recon Reports

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