Emily Recon

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#121 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 13, 2005 6:54 pm

VORTEX REPORT

Storm EMILY: Observed By AF #302
Storm #05 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 37KT (42.5mph 68.5km/h) In N Quadrant At 23:00:50 Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 33.3KT (38.3mph 61.7km/h) *
Misc Remarks: X FL TEMP 19 C 286 / 15 NM FROM FL CNTR
Date/Time of Recon Report: Invalid Date (Invalid Date)
Position of the center: 11° 30' N 060° 28' W (11.5°N 60.5°W)
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 850mb: 1444m (Normal: 1457)
Surface Winds Were: Not Estimated
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured nm (0miles) From Center At Bearing °
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 037KT (42.55mph 68.5km/h) From 078°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 098nm (112.7 miles) From Center At Bearing 307°
Minimum pressure: 1000mb (29.53in)
Eye Wall Characterization Not Reported
Eye Did Not Have A Definable Form or was not reported
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Wind Pressure
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 850mb
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 0.02nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 3nm
Last edited by clfenwi on Wed Jul 13, 2005 6:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

Scorpion

#122 Postby Scorpion » Wed Jul 13, 2005 6:56 pm

Wow shes dead.
0 likes   

texasheat

#123 Postby texasheat » Wed Jul 13, 2005 6:57 pm

whats vortex
0 likes   

User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#124 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 6:59 pm

hey pressures down a bit
0 likes   

User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#125 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:02 pm

Scorpion wrote:Wow shes dead.


I wouldn't pay much attention to winds they found now. They just got into the system and they found the pressure 3mb lower. She's very much alive.
Last edited by Thunder44 on Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#126 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:03 pm

Peak flight level winds during 2338-2348 set of minobs
11° 03' N 60° 01' N 47 knots//271
0 likes   

clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#127 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:04 pm

Yeah, that first vortex was based on the plane making a direct bee-line to the center... it hadn't had any time at all to fly around and sample the quadrants...
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#128 Postby Brent » Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:05 pm

Scorpion wrote:Wow shes dead.


Uh... not hardly. It's down to 1000 mb.
0 likes   
#neversummer

gkrangers

#129 Postby gkrangers » Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:07 pm

Brent wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Wow shes dead.


Uh... not hardly. It's down to 1000 mb.
Seriously...posts like that make me regret coming here so often.
0 likes   

clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#130 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:09 pm

Highest flight level wind during 2348-2358 minobs

2351Z 10° 53' N 059° 51' W 50 knots//224
0 likes   

clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#131 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:16 pm

Peak flight level wind during 2358-0008 minobs
2358Z
10°38' N 059°36' W 39 knots//200
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#132 Postby Brent » Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:16 pm

gkrangers wrote:
Brent wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Wow shes dead.


Uh... not hardly. It's down to 1000 mb.
Seriously...posts like that make me regret coming here so often.


:lol:
0 likes   
#neversummer

jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#133 Postby jkt21787 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:23 pm

texasheat wrote:whats vortex

Vortex is the vortex message which contains the "guts" if you will of all the things recon found, SLP, Max Flight Level Winds, Eye characteristics, etc.
0 likes   

clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#134 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:26 pm

Observation Number: 06
Time 0009Z
Position 10.2 North 59.2 West
Flight Level Winds 25 knots//200
0 likes   

User avatar
FritzPaul
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 468
Age: 58
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:09 pm
Location: Pensacola, FL
Contact:

#135 Postby FritzPaul » Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:27 pm

texasheat wrote:whats vortex




Here's an explanation on how to read:

http://www.hurricanehunters.com/vortex.htm
0 likes   

clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#136 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:31 pm

VORTEX Supplemental Report

Storm: Storm EMILY: Observed By AF #302
Storm #05 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 37KT (42.5mph 68.5km/h) In N Quadrant At 23:00:50 Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 33.3KT (38.3mph 61.7km/h) *
Misc Remarks: X FL TEMP 19 C 286 / 15 NM FROM FL CNTR (Report Time: 14/0023Z)
Max Inbound Flight Level Winds: 12.4N 61.7W 037KT (42.55MPH 68.5km/h) [22:47:50Z to 23:27:00Z]
Inbound Surface Wind Observed At 20KT (23MPH 37.0km/h) @ 060°
Max Outbound Flight Level Winds: 10.9N 59.9W 051KT (58.65MPH 94.5km/h) [23:40:50Z to 00:08:30Z]
Data # Position Height Temp Dewpoint Wind
I01 13.0N 62.2W 850mb Height @ 1508m 15°C 15°C 030KT (34.5MPH 55.6 km/h) @ 80°
I02 12.7N 62.1W 850mb Height @ 1511m 15°C 14°C 035KT (40.25MPH 64.8 km/h) @ 80°
I03 12.6N 61.9W 850mb Height @ 1509m 15°C 14°C 033KT (37.95MPH 61.1 km/h) @ 80°
I04 12.4N 61.7W 850mb Height @ 1505m 14°C 14°C 031KT (35.65MPH 57.4 km/h) @ 70°
I05 12.2N 61.5W 850mb Height @ 1501m 15°C 15°C 033KT (37.95MPH 61.1 km/h) @ 50°
I06 12.0N 61.3W 850mb Height @ 1497m 15°C 15°C 029KT (33.35MPH 53.7 km/h) @ 50°
I07 11.8N 61.2W 850mb Height @ 1491m 15°C 15°C 035KT (40.25MPH 64.8 km/h) @ 40°
I08 11.7N 61.0W 850mb Height @ 1480m 16°C 15°C 031KT (35.65MPH 57.4 km/h) @ 20°
I09 11.6N 60.7W 850mb Height @ 1460m 18°C 13°C 021KT (24.15MPH 38.9 km/h) @ 360°
O01 11.3N 60.3W 850mb Height @ 1442m 18°C 14°C 018KT (20.7MPH 33.3 km/h) @ 270°
O02 11.1N 60.1W 850mb Height @ 1455m 15°C 15°C 038KT (43.7MPH 70.4 km/h) @ 260°
O03 11.0N 59.9W 850mb Height @ 1472m 14°C 14°C 042KT (48.3MPH 77.8 km/h) @ 240°
O04 10.8N 59.8W 850mb Height @ 1496m 12°C 12°C 045KT (51.75MPH 83.3 km/h) @ 210°
O05 10.6N 59.6W 850mb Height @ 1509m 13°C 13°C 034KT (39.1MPH 63.0 km/h) @ 200°
O06 10.4N 59.4W 850mb Height @ 1516m 14°C 14°C 033KT (37.95MPH 61.1 km/h) @ 200°
O07 10.3N 59.2W 850mb Height @ 1519m 14°C 14°C 027KT (31.05MPH 50.0 km/h) @ 210°
* = Estimated Surface Winds are assumed 90% of Max Flight Level Winds
0 likes   

clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#137 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:44 pm

0038 1202N 05928W 01832 0063 145 057 150 100 058 01933 0000000000

58 knot flight level wind (10 second avg ;57 knot 30 second avg)...
0 likes   

Air Force Met
Military Met
Military Met
Posts: 4372
Age: 56
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 9:30 am
Location: Roan Mountain, TN

#138 Postby Air Force Met » Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:50 pm

Scorpion wrote:Wow shes dead.


Huh?
0 likes   

clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#139 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:58 pm

0042 1219N 05930W 01832 0066 134 060 150 100 060 01936 0000000000

60 knot flight level wind
0 likes   

pcolaguy

#140 Postby pcolaguy » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:00 pm

Wow approching hurricane force... they should raise it to 55kt for the next advisory.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 265 guests