BOC system

[Ivanhater]

large & messy...IE the other 2....let's see what the EURO has ot offer.

EDIT: gfs para has skipped development the last run then picked back up.

Huh? It developed it last run as well

[Wx_Warrior]

another NMEX hit

[Wx_Warrior]

Excuse me Michael, i meant 12z run. Not keen on the 6 & 18s.

[Ivanhater]

Excuse me Michael, i meant 12z run. Not keen on the 6 & 18s.

It developed it on the 12z run as well...just not as strong and further south

12z run

[Wx_Warrior]

I give up.

If EURO doesn't have it.....

[Ivanhater]

Euro does see it and sends it to the same area as the GFS

[Wx_Warrior]

like i said...i give up...

EURO 2, et al 0

[Ivanhater]

like i said...i give up...

EURO 2, et al 0

What are you giving up on?

[xcool22]

lmao

[ROCK]

That EURO run has better resolution that what I have bookmarked. Got active in the Carib quickly with that low moving off of columbia.

Ivan, I was in your neck of the woods today around NO...well close enough....never seen so many environmental groups....

now that I am done traveling for a few weeks I can start looking at the models more closely.

[Ivanhater]

That EURO run has better resolution that what I have bookmarked. Got active in the Carib quickly with that low moving off of columbia.

Ivan, I was in your neck of the woods today around NO...well close enough....never seen so many environmental groups....

now that I am done traveling for a few weeks I can start looking at the models more closely.

Yeah Rock, they are common these days on the beach here but great news for once today with the well shutting off. Glad to see you back!

Getting "soupy" in the Caribbean now

[Ivanhater]

00Z Canadian sends it to the same area

[ROCK]

soupy it is....MJO coming in and things heat up in a hurry. I have been taking a break the last few days....looking forward to some late night EURO runs....I am recharged.

[Scorpion]

Yea, haven't really seen this black IR since Alex was forming. Good sign.

[Ivanhater]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 160534
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI JUL 16 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS PRODUCING
A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
WESTWARD...LIKELY BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

[Ivanhater]

Euro finally sees it

[Wx_Warrior]

Finally?

Thought you had it last run?

[xcool22]

he did lol

[Ivanhater]

Finally?

Thought you had it last run?

Had a reflection of it in the BOC as an open wave. actually closes off a low this run (TD strength)

[Wx_Warrior]

Glad the EURO could verify.