UNOFFICIAL..Irene #11; cane in 36hrs/offshore NC in 120?

[ncweatherwizard]

Quote Storm2K:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Quote Nencweather.com:
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Forecast 11:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... irene.html

Hurricane in 36 hours. If the center can become better incorporated with the MLC, we could see more intensification in the short term. I imagine, that the dry air will have less of an effect in roughly 36 hours, as shear and steering currents will weaken, and the mid-level dry air appears to have become less prominent--although still a major factor. Track takes it offshore the Outer Banks in 5 days, but the models are of little help today, and the track is really more of a compromise and an analysis of incoming troughing.

Track graphic in about 25 minutes.

Scott

[ncweatherwizard]

New graphics out. Cone of uncertainty extends far south, but likelihood of Irene moving along south end of cone late in the forecast period is far less likely than it moving along the northern end.

Scott