UNOFFICIAL...Franklin #2 out to sea and strong TS;maybe cane

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
ncweatherwizard
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1243
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 9:45 am
Location: Ft. Collins, CO

UNOFFICIAL...Franklin #2 out to sea and strong TS;maybe cane

#1 Postby ncweatherwizard » Fri Jul 22, 2005 9:36 am

Quote Storm2K:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.

Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html

Forecast 2:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... nklin.html

The GUNA ensemble models take this thing out to sea, and UKMET is not stalling this morning, so this is probably a safe call. Out to sea and accelerating over the next few days, but I think GFDL might be a little too fast; we're not looking for a really strong northward jump in the track, but rather a east-northeast to northeastward exit. No hurricane for this forecast, but it is certainly possible as the storm passes 65W. Track is a good blend of model guidance.

Scott
0 likes   

ncweatherwizard
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1243
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 9:45 am
Location: Ft. Collins, CO

#2 Postby ncweatherwizard » Fri Jul 22, 2005 9:45 am

corrected for 12 hour position; somehow I managed to use the wrong initial point to get the 12 hour position, and I was wondering why the forecast track looked so strange... :lol:
0 likes   

jax

#3 Postby jax » Fri Jul 22, 2005 9:46 am

she's stalled right now....
2mph = stall
0 likes   

Jim Cantore

Thank god

#4 Postby Jim Cantore » Fri Jul 22, 2005 10:24 am

I have a trip to Florida in 3 weeks and I already had one canceled in november last year compliments of you know who (Frances and Jeanne) last thing I need is this one doing it to me

I dont think North Carolina is out of the woods though I just have a feeling
0 likes   

User avatar
EDR1222
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1253
Joined: Mon Nov 10, 2003 12:58 pm
Location: Melbourne, FL

#5 Postby EDR1222 » Fri Jul 22, 2005 10:33 am

jax wrote:she's stalled right now....
2mph = stall


Definately will complicate things further if the slow erratic movement continues.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: KirbyDude25, pepecool20 and 73 guests