12:00z Model Guidance,Still TD,Pressure 1008 mbs

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE (AL052005) ON 20050711 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050711 1200 050712 0000 050712 1200 050713 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 10.2N 44.2W 10.2N 46.8W 10.0N 49.4W 9.9N 52.3W
BAMM 10.2N 44.2W 10.4N 46.7W 10.6N 49.3W 10.9N 52.1W
A98E 10.2N 44.2W 10.0N 46.4W 10.4N 48.9W 11.1N 51.6W
LBAR 10.2N 44.2W 10.2N 46.7W 10.3N 49.6W 10.7N 52.6W
SHIP 30KTS 38KTS 46KTS 53KTS
DSHP 30KTS 38KTS 46KTS 53KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050713 1200 050714 1200 050715 1200 050716 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 9.9N 55.3W 10.7N 62.0W 12.5N 68.6W 14.3N 74.9W
BAMM 11.2N 55.0W 12.6N 61.2W 14.8N 67.6W 16.7N 73.6W
A98E 11.6N 54.2W 13.5N 59.7W 15.2N 64.9W 16.9N 69.9W
LBAR 10.8N 56.0W 11.5N 62.6W 13.3N 68.9W .0N .0W
SHIP 60KTS 70KTS 75KTS 77KTS
DSHP 60KTS 70KTS 75KTS 46KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 10.2N LONCUR = 44.2W DIRCUR = 260DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 10.5N LONM12 = 42.3W DIRM12 = 261DEG SPDM12 = 9KT
LATM24 = 10.6N LONM24 = 40.5W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM


Pressure down to 1008 mbs.Still a TD at 11 AM.



Refresh it.

[Scott_inVA]

CMC continues north of PR and Hispaniola.

UKMET similar to TPC, gets just north of Cuba.

EC gets under Jamaica...then fizzles (EC hasn't been my model of choice this year).

GFS south of TPC.

Scott
Mid-Atlantic WX.com
Lexington, VA
http://www.midatlanticwx.com/modelmap.htm

[DESTRUCTION5]

I say She trends west and Take the comfy rout under the Islands till at least Cuba....Models are already trending west..