Ixolib wrote:PurdueWx80 wrote:http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satellite/displaySat.php?region=US&itype=wv&size=large&endDate=20050709&endTime=-1&duration=3
To me, this says it all. The shortwave ridge ahead of the upper low just south of Houston is building north and west. The northern Plains ridge is bridging the gap with the west Atlantic ridge - and we have some serious track issues to deal with if my eyes aren't deceiving me. If the WNW motion mentioned by Mr. Stewart over the last 2 hours continues, the height rises behind Cindy and ahead of the upper low will have won out. I think the NHC is right on here, and with almost all model support saying I'm crazy, I should just shut my mouth. But, I'm particularly worried because if this storm does continue WNW, the non-evacuated New Orleans residents are in a heap of trouble.
Just look at the moisture over MS and LA moving to the NNW. Ridge. Building. Will it win out?
Considering the big **IF**, are you raising the possibility of a N.O. hit, or are you considering the possibility of a hit further west than the current NHC forecast?
Yes, my IF basically says to me that a hit at the mouth of the MS River is not out of the question - and the storm will continue NW after landfall, almost without a doubt. Hope everyone in southern MS is outta there.
