I seem to remember that the model runs during the Charley days while it was in the Carribean were very similar to what we see now with Dennis. Didn't they keep saying NW movement expected that really didn't materialize as soon as the models said? Then- the system actually got stronger and took on a more northerly component, then pretty abruptly turned to the NE, despite the models continuing a westward trend. Ultimately it was the final destination of the models that mattered most, not the path that the storm took to get there.
Question - as Dennis gets stronger, will it's strength help determine future direction? i.e. weaker=more west, stronger=more east? -or vice versa?
Another question - At what time will we know about the ridge weakness developing or not? Will it be after Cindy landfall before we know the significance of that impact?
Wasn't Modeling for Charley Similar to Dennis'?
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TreasureIslandFLGal
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TPACane04
see my other post just now on this topic. models did not see the strnegth of the trough coming across CONUS which ultimately broke down ridge and turned Charley to N then NE into SW FL.
That is why we need another day or so to let TD4 get to Dennis status and I will be eagerly awaiting model guidance TOMORROW for a clearer picture.
That is why we need another day or so to let TD4 get to Dennis status and I will be eagerly awaiting model guidance TOMORROW for a clearer picture.
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