8pm TD 3-Getting better organized... near TS strength

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Brent
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8pm TD 3-Getting better organized... near TS strength

#1 Postby Brent » Mon Jul 04, 2005 6:50 pm

Tropical Depression Three Intermediate Advisory Number 5a

Statement as of 7:00 PM CDT on July 04, 2005

...Tropical Depression Three becoming better organized over
the south-central Gulf of Mexico...

a tropical storm watch is in effect for the Louisiana coast from the
mouth of the Mississippi River to Sabine Pass. A tropical storm
watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the
watch area...generally within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning may be required for portions of the watch
area by early Tuesday morning.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 7 PM CDT...0000z...the broad center of Tropical Depression Three
was estimated near latitude 23.3 north...longitude 89.5 west or
about 395 miles south of the mouth of the Mississippi River.

The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph
...And this general motion is expected to continue for the next
24 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...with higher gusts... and
the depression could strengthen into a tropical storm later tonight
or Tuesday. During the past few hours...SHIPS and NOAA buoys
located north and northeast of the center have reported sustained
winds between 33 to 38 mph...or just below tropical storm force.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb...29.80 inches.

Repeating the 7 PM CDT position...23.3 N... 89.5 W. Movement
toward...north-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 35 mph. Minimum central pressure...1009 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center
at 10 PM CDT.

Forecaster Stewart
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#2 Postby Guest » Mon Jul 04, 2005 6:57 pm

Like I said over, and over and over..... SE LA, MS and AL your gonna get wet, very wet
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#3 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Jul 04, 2005 6:58 pm

and florida panhandle from the looks of it
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#4 Postby Guest » Mon Jul 04, 2005 7:00 pm

ivanhater wrote:and florida panhandle from the looks of it


yes
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#5 Postby CFL » Mon Jul 04, 2005 7:13 pm

I saw a little while ago on TWC that we're forecast to have heavy rain Tuesday night and on into Wednesday. Everybody grab your umbrellas!
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#6 Postby clfenwi » Mon Jul 04, 2005 7:29 pm

This bit caught my attention and had me wondering...

During the past few hours...SHIPS and NOAA buoys
located north and northeast of the center have reported sustained
winds between 33 to 38 mph...or just below tropical storm force.


Anyone have the obs mentioned here? I searched the NDBC site and the two best candidates were buoy 42001 (loc 25.84N 89.66W / 21.4 knot wind at 2350Z ) and ship MDGV9 (loc 24.9N 88.5W / 28 knot wind at 2100Z ).
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