Looking a little stretched-out...
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James
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Looking a little stretched-out...
Is it just me, or does Tropical Depression Three look really elongated north-south at the moment? Is this likely to have any major effects on the system? I'm aware that it is just a depression at the moment, but I am just curious.
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Frank P
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Per the NHC 5 am discussion on TD3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE IS SHOWING INTERESTING STRUCTURAL
DEVELOPMENTS THIS MORNING. A STRONG AND PERSISTENT AREA OF
CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CENTER OVER THE EAST CENTRAL YUCATAN PENINSULA...WHICH SUGGESTS THE INNER CORE IS GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED.
ON THE OTHER HAND...THE OVERALL CIRCULATION IS BECOMING ELONGATED NORTH-SOUTH...WITH A SECOND VORTICITY MAXIMUM APPARENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF YUCATAN. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 30 KT FROM TAFB AND 25 KT FROM AFWA...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL REMAIN 30
KT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE IS SHOWING INTERESTING STRUCTURAL
DEVELOPMENTS THIS MORNING. A STRONG AND PERSISTENT AREA OF
CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CENTER OVER THE EAST CENTRAL YUCATAN PENINSULA...WHICH SUGGESTS THE INNER CORE IS GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED.
ON THE OTHER HAND...THE OVERALL CIRCULATION IS BECOMING ELONGATED NORTH-SOUTH...WITH A SECOND VORTICITY MAXIMUM APPARENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF YUCATAN. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 30 KT FROM TAFB AND 25 KT FROM AFWA...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL REMAIN 30
KT.
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crazycajuncane
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The NHC has been forecasting the mid level circulation would pull some energy north since yesterday.
With the LLC over the Yucatan this trend may continue till tonight.
Once the LLC is back over water the circulation should improve around the southern part of the storm.
Some of the models are not showing domination by the southern part of the storm after it leaves the Yucatan.
That is why we are getting split system scenarios etc.
With the LLC over the Yucatan this trend may continue till tonight.
Once the LLC is back over water the circulation should improve around the southern part of the storm.
Some of the models are not showing domination by the southern part of the storm after it leaves the Yucatan.
That is why we are getting split system scenarios etc.
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