6/18/2005 10:30PM TWO - all is quiet

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dhweather
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6/18/2005 10:30PM TWO - all is quiet

#1 Postby dhweather » Sat Jun 18, 2005 9:55 pm

ABNT20 KNHC 190205
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SAT JUN 18 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

FORECASTER BEVEN
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#2 Postby Brent » Sat Jun 18, 2005 10:13 pm

Well the activity was nice while I lasted.
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#3 Postby Swimdude » Sat Jun 18, 2005 10:45 pm

Can't get much more inactive than that. :(
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#4 Postby Brent » Sat Jun 18, 2005 10:50 pm

Swimdude wrote:Can't get much more inactive than that. :(


It cannot during the season. :lol:
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#5 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jun 18, 2005 10:51 pm

When it's *really* inactive (especially in Aug/Sep), you see statements like "The Tropical Atlantic is unusually quiet for this time of year." Those are depressing times for hurricane fans. :cry:
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Low approaching fast at 15 degrees @ 65 degrees?

#6 Postby stormy1959 » Sun Jun 19, 2005 8:33 am

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#7 Postby Brent » Sun Jun 19, 2005 8:52 am

clfenwi wrote:When it's *really* inactive (especially in Aug/Sep), you see statements like "The Tropical Atlantic is unusually quiet for this time of year." Those are depressing times for hurricane fans. :cry:


When was the last time we saw that? Certainly not the last couple of years. :lol: :eek:
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Re: Low approaching fast at 15 degrees @ 65 degrees?

#8 Postby Brent » Sun Jun 19, 2005 8:53 am

stormy1959 wrote:http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html

Don't laugh just wanting to learn.


There's no convection.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg

15 N/65 W would put it well north of that area of convection crossing the islands which looks like an open wave.
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#9 Postby clfenwi » Sun Jun 19, 2005 11:47 am

Brent wrote:
clfenwi wrote:When it's *really* inactive (especially in Aug/Sep), you see statements like "The Tropical Atlantic is unusually quiet for this time of year." Those are depressing times for hurricane fans. :cry:


When was the last time we saw that? Certainly not the last couple of years. :lol: :eek:


The last time I can say with certainty that I saw a quote like that was August '97. It seems to me that I have seen at some point since, but I can't pin down a possible time period.

And no, that phrase certainly has not been seen in the past two years :D
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#10 Postby Brent » Sun Jun 19, 2005 12:04 pm

clfenwi wrote:
Brent wrote:
clfenwi wrote:When it's *really* inactive (especially in Aug/Sep), you see statements like "The Tropical Atlantic is unusually quiet for this time of year." Those are depressing times for hurricane fans. :cry:


When was the last time we saw that? Certainly not the last couple of years. :lol: :eek:


The last time I can say with certainty that I saw a quote like that was August '97. It seems to me that I have seen at some point since, but I can't pin down a possible time period.

And no, that phrase certainly has not been seen in the past two years :D


Maybe 2000 is what I'm thinking... That was the year of the sheared system. :lol:
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#11 Postby george_r_1961 » Sun Jun 19, 2005 1:46 pm

Its quiet for now; the question is how long will it stay quiet? No one knows. Conditions will IMO become more conducive to development over the next several days.
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#12 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jun 19, 2005 3:16 pm

Brent wrote:
clfenwi wrote:
Brent wrote:
clfenwi wrote:When it's *really* inactive (especially in Aug/Sep), you see statements like "The Tropical Atlantic is unusually quiet for this time of year." Those are depressing times for hurricane fans. :cry:


When was the last time we saw that? Certainly not the last couple of years. :lol: :eek:


The last time I can say with certainty that I saw a quote like that was August '97. It seems to me that I have seen at some point since, but I can't pin down a possible time period.

And no, that phrase certainly has not been seen in the past two years :D


Actually, the last time that phrase was used was 2002. From August 9th to August 29 there was a null period.
Maybe 2000 is what I'm thinking... That was the year of the sheared system. :lol:
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#13 Postby clfenwi » Sun Jun 19, 2005 3:35 pm

Ah.

In August 2002 I was on a taxpayer funded six-month cruise of the Mediterranean Sea.

I think the only attention I paid to the tropical Atlantic that year was in September, and even then I was only looking out for anything that could interefere with a smooth sail back to home.
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