Long Range GFS shows something in Eastern Atlantic

[cycloneye]

18 GFS at 300 hours.



18 UTC GFS at 336 hours



18 UTC GFS at 384 hours.

Of course I know very well that long range forecasts are not good but what I am watching is a trend one way or another about this low in the eastern atlantic developing or not.This is only a run now let's see in subsequent runs they have the same feature or they lose it.To note is that the Azores high gets stronger around 1033 mbs by 384 hours.

[ohiostorm]

Definately hinting to something. We will see what the future brings us.

[gkrangers]

Ummm...its the 300HR GFS..

Enough said.

[Guest]

We have to watch model trends this year. GFS last call was not good. It developed a similar system out of the wave that came off Africa yesterday but quickly dropped it. AVN took it up but nothing materialised.

Arlene was an early one but don't see anything materialising in Atlantic until July at the earliest.

The earlier they occur, the less cluster there will be when the intense season gets into swing.

I have my fingers crossed that my cruise won't get interrupted this year.

[senorpepr]

Just a note: AVN no longer exists. AVN is now seen as the GFS, although many websites never changed the name.

[Brent]

[Kennethb]

Typical GFS which likes to tropical storms. It will finally verify in August.

[cycloneye]

6 UTC GFS at 360 hours.



6 UTC GFS at 384 hours.

This run shows that the low in the eastern atlantic still is despicted but the model weakens it a little at the end of the 16 day cycle at 6 UTC run.Looking for more trends.