70 MPH SAYS NRL

Derek Ortt · #21 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 2:38 pm

NRL typically receives the info from NHC about 2 hours in advance. Maybe an SFMR measurement from a NOAA plane

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #22 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 2:39 pm

I would not at all be surprized if this is a stronger then it was at the 2pm Advisory. The LLC is clearly has pushed its way under the LLC. The banding looks very good. Maybe a little bit of the southwestern quad is exposed. To the southwest is a trough(Anything southwest) I think we got a boarder line hurricane.

Derecho · #23 Postby **Derecho** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 2:45 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I would not at all be surprized if this is a stronger then it was at the 2pm Advisory. The LLC is clearly has pushed its way under the LLC.

WHICH of the two equally well defined LLCs are you talking about?

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #24 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 2:47 pm

The one that has pushed its way under(Mostly) the convection. Thats the only one that shows a closed cirulation.

Derecho · #25 Postby **Derecho** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 2:49 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The one that has pushed its way under(Mostly) the convection. Thats the only one that shows a closed cirulation.

Sorry. There are two very clear, mostly exposed, LLCs on satellite.

And contrary to popular belief, when shear relaxes over a storm, generally convection moves over the center, the center doesn't move under the convection.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #26 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 2:53 pm

Now I see what your seeing. This is freaking weird pure samplie the weirdest storm since Kyle(2001 pest storm).

#27 Postby **Pebbles** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 3:03 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Now I see what your seeing. This is freaking weird pure samplie the weirdest storm since Kyle(2001 pest storm).

It is... but go here http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes and if your puter can handle it set it to 600 by 400 25 frame loops at 100percent quality.. and zoom on the center. I luv this link.. you can actually see 3D cloud action, makes you feel almost like your in a plane looking at it.

I have a souped up puter system cause I do online gaming but think it should show up good still even if you may not...

Christine

I smile because i have no idea what's going on!

2005 guess: 15/10/6
<----- Feel free to Rub the cute LUCKY Pebbles belly!

Thunder44 · #28 Postby **Thunder44** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 3:06 pm

It changed back to 50kts on the NRL site. I don't think we can trust that site so much anymore. NHC might of changed their minds though.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #29 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 3:09 pm

Appears that it is now two tropical cyclones. I'v never seen something so weird. One Center will go into MS. In the other Pen Florida.

Website · #30 Postby **Brent** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 3:09 pm

50 kts on the 5pm advisory... track will be shifted a little to the east.

Derek Ortt · #31 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Fri Jun 10, 2005 3:14 pm

bouy to the west of the center is reporting 999mb as of 15 minutes ago and the pressure is falling rapidly. May suggest a MSLP of about 995mb

70 MPH SAYS NRL

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