TD 1 Forecast #1: Slow development but Arlene coming

[Josephine96]

EXPERIMENTAL HURRICANE FORECAST
TROPICAL DEPRESSION #1
715 PM WED JUNE 8TH 2005

Tropical Depression #1 officially was born at 5pm ET kicking off the Atlantic Hurricane Season. The depression has winds of only 30 mph but is forecast to become a tropical storm.

The slow movement, the warm waters and the potential of relaxing of some wind shear may help the storm develop into Arlene, which I believe will happen in the next 24-30 hours.

While it is way too early to tell how strong the depression may become, The NHC current 5 day forecast has it making landfall somewhere east of Na'lens lol.. {New orleans} and that seems like a logical scenario.

I believe as the storm gets pulled north.. it may develop a slight east component and make a landfall somewhere around Mississippi to as far east as the Florida Panhandle. This is because as it gets drawn north.. it may get pulled by high pressure or by a passing low if 1 is in the region.

The depression will also bring tremendous rains to it's eastern side as well as to it's final destination. The slower the movement, the more rain.

Here's the experimental 5 day forecast on TD 1:

Tonight: Meandering in the Caribbean. Organizing. Max Winds: 35 mph
Thursday: Getting better organized.. moving north. Max Winds: 45 mph
Friday: Passing through the Central Gulf. Max Winds: 50 mph
Saturday: Near the coast.. watches/warnings may be required. Max Winds: 55 mph
Sunday: Well inland. Max Winds: 40 mph

DISCLAIMER:
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[canegrl04]

TD 1 is moving along at 5mph.In those bath waters it means plenty of time for strengthening I believe we will see Arlene by tomorrow afternoon

[Josephine96]

Thank you Kevin.. tweaks will be made as needed..