Still skeptical this evening......

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Radar
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#21 Postby Radar » Tue Jun 07, 2005 11:24 pm

I'm not going to count the Gfdl out either right now, although it has not been that accurate in the past. Other models do help to support it... Something is brewing, it is just a waiting game to see if it will verify or not. I think it is too soon to say either way. Tomorrow will be the day of truth when recon goes out!!
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abajan
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#22 Postby abajan » Wed Jun 08, 2005 12:06 am

Radar wrote:...Tomorrow will be the day of truth when recon goes out!!


Indeed. Tomorrow will be the day of recon-ing! :lol:
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#23 Postby mobilebay » Wed Jun 08, 2005 12:06 am

abajan wrote:
Radar wrote:...Tomorrow will be the day of truth when recon goes out!!


Indeed. Tomorrow will be the day of recon-ing! :lol:

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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#24 Postby tallywx » Wed Jun 08, 2005 12:11 am

mobilebay wrote:
abajan wrote:
Radar wrote:...Tomorrow will be the day of truth when recon goes out!!


Indeed. Tomorrow will be the day of recon-ing! :lol:

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:


jasmine tea is not meant to come out of one's nose. yet that's just what happened after I read that pun. well done, sir.
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#25 Postby HurricaneJoe22 » Wed Jun 08, 2005 12:20 am

nothin can happen until the low gets fully out over the water, so that's step 1. so the wait is on for that to happen.
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#26 Postby mobilebay » Wed Jun 08, 2005 12:22 am

after looking at night time Visible images it looks like the center is over water. At least there is some rotation north of Honduras. Just my humble opinion.
Last edited by mobilebay on Wed Jun 08, 2005 12:25 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#27 Postby lilbump3000 » Wed Jun 08, 2005 12:25 am

I notice more of a rotation off the coast now as well, and also to point out storms are starting to refire along the coast.
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#28 Postby mobilebay » Wed Jun 08, 2005 12:27 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
Here is the link. Check it out!
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#29 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jun 08, 2005 12:32 am

Yes there maybe a center over water. The shear over the system is 10 knots. With a decrease of 10 knots over the last day. The shear to the north is 40 knots. Which is not a bad thing because it acts like a outflow channel.
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#30 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Jun 08, 2005 12:33 am

mobilebay wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir2-loop.html
Here is the link. Check it out!


Yes I see it too. I guess the models might be right on this one actually developing. Now they key question is where is it going if it does develop?
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#31 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jun 08, 2005 12:34 am

It will have to move slow because it has to stay in lock step with the upper high. Or it will get distoryed.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html
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#32 Postby mobilebay » Wed Jun 08, 2005 12:34 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Yes there maybe a center over water. The shear over the system is 10 knots. With a decrease of 10 knots over the last day. The shear to the north is 40 knots. Which is not a bad thing because it acts like a outflow channel.

Still a pretty good bit of shear there. Notice how the convection is getting pulled northeast away from the center. Seems like there is almost a LLC in the low cloud field though.
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#33 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Wed Jun 08, 2005 12:43 am

Here is another look at the system...

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html
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