E. Pacific flare-ups

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James
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E. Pacific flare-ups

#1 Postby James » Wed May 11, 2005 10:18 am

There is some impressive convection firing up in the E. Pacific this afternoon. The one furthest east looks particularly strong.

Image

With the season so close, are these the kind of systems that we should be looking at, or is nothing likely to come from them?
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boca
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#2 Postby boca » Wed May 11, 2005 2:47 pm

May 15th is the day for the Pacific right on schedule.
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#3 Postby Aslkahuna » Wed May 11, 2005 3:42 pm

The transverse banded cirrus between 15 and 20N shows that there are some moderate to strong westerlies and associated shear there so development, if any, would be minimal at this point in time. Need to get the trough to the north over the western US out of the way and develop the STR before we can get going. Models do indicate this happening next week but right it would be wait and see as the models have tended to overdevelop the STR in recent months.

Steve
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