bring on the kelvin wave
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bring on the kelvin wave
I like hurricane season,but after last year I could use a year off of the death cone. I'll take a depression or a tropical storm. Bring on el nino.
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Scorpion
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Anonymous
1969 had 18 named storms...In fact...was 1969 an El Nino year???
1992 (EL NINO)
Eastern Pacific:
10 major hurricanes.
Three Hurricanes hit Mexico:
Lester in August (80 mph)
Virgil in October (Cat 2, after being Cat 4 right off coast)
Winifred in October (Formed within hours of Virgil, cat 3 into Mexico)
Iniki hit Hawaii as a Category 4
Andrew into South Florida as a Category 5
2002 (EL NINO)
Isidore and Lili both are Category 3/4's in the Gulf, both could have brought major disaster to Gulf Coast
Hurricane Kenna hit Mexico as a Category 4 in October
1992 (EL NINO)
Eastern Pacific:
10 major hurricanes.
Three Hurricanes hit Mexico:
Lester in August (80 mph)
Virgil in October (Cat 2, after being Cat 4 right off coast)
Winifred in October (Formed within hours of Virgil, cat 3 into Mexico)
Iniki hit Hawaii as a Category 4
Andrew into South Florida as a Category 5
2002 (EL NINO)
Isidore and Lili both are Category 3/4's in the Gulf, both could have brought major disaster to Gulf Coast
Hurricane Kenna hit Mexico as a Category 4 in October
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Anonymous
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Windtalker
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Derek Ortt
spoke to Chris Landsea today and the Kelvin wave, and following MJO may very well bring about el nino, though it is not certain.
If we get a nino, kiss an active season good bye (while I want a quiet season, there is a major field program I am a part of that kind of needs Atlantic canes this year)
If we get a nino, kiss an active season good bye (while I want a quiet season, there is a major field program I am a part of that kind of needs Atlantic canes this year)
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Scorpion
El Nino is not good for anyone on this board. I personally hope it is an active season but with many fish. With little activity, there will be little to talk about. Lets all wish away El Nino. Someone said 1969 was an El Nino year so thats where I got Camille from. Not really sure whether it was though.
Last edited by Scorpion on Tue Apr 05, 2005 9:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Derek Ortt
scorpion,
do you own property? if you do, I doubt you will be wishing for another very active season. One more active season and we are going to lose the tourist industry, probably resulting in a state income tax.
Lets all think before wishing for a repeat of last year.
Besides, if there is a nino, the field program merely goes to the Pacific and hangs out at Cabo
do you own property? if you do, I doubt you will be wishing for another very active season. One more active season and we are going to lose the tourist industry, probably resulting in a state income tax.
Lets all think before wishing for a repeat of last year.
Besides, if there is a nino, the field program merely goes to the Pacific and hangs out at Cabo
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As expected Derek, a great question. I fear this hurricane season being a homeowner and being a new parent. Much has changed over the 8-12 months. Its frightening to put myself in our Floridian friends shoes. Lets hope the Houston-Galveston Areas are spared. I follow stats closely and our time is coming even though hurricanes do not have memories. Scorpion I hope you never get to experience ground zero.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Derek Ortt
he only idd experience it twice last year. However, it appears as if a cat 2 and a cat 3 seperated only 3 weeks apart is too little action for him.
No reason for alarm, I had the same attitude when I was 16. It wasnt until after I had stuff of my own and actually moved to MIA that I began to see the true horror of these canes
No reason for alarm, I had the same attitude when I was 16. It wasnt until after I had stuff of my own and actually moved to MIA that I began to see the true horror of these canes
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The Big Dog
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Derek Ortt wrote:he only idd experience it twice last year. However, it appears as if a cat 2 and a cat 3 seperated only 3 weeks apart is too little action for him.
No reason for alarm, I had the same attitude when I was 16. It wasnt until after I had stuff of my own and actually moved to MIA that I began to see the true horror of these canes
Derek, KatDaddy -- he actually wants a 5 to come to his house! Ask him.
Derek, I remember last October you mentioned one model -- CMC, I think -- that was developing a Cat 3 in the Caribbean moving toward SoFla, and his eyes lit up with the prospect of yet another major hurricane coming toward him. As if the two the previous month and a scare from Ivan weren't enough. Yes, that was too little action for him. What a loon.
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cyclonaut
As I said on another thread & many of you already know Fla especially South Fla has been pummeled by the some of the strongest hurricanes in history during slow seasons!!
So an El Nino would mean less storms but it doesnt mean one can post the all clear.Having said that I hardly believe that there will be that strong of an El Nino by peak season so still expect at least an average season.
So an El Nino would mean less storms but it doesnt mean one can post the all clear.Having said that I hardly believe that there will be that strong of an El Nino by peak season so still expect at least an average season.
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HurricaneBill
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Derek Ortt
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