Code: Select all
TROPICAL WAVE 31W/33W SOUTH OF 20N STILL SHOWS UP WELL IN THE
CURRENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY...MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT.
WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 29W AND 32W. IT
APPEARS THAT THE EASTERN ATLANTIC TROUGH OF YESTERDAY...STILL
IN PLACE TODAY BUT HAVING SHIFTED EASTWARD...IS NOT AFFECTING
THE WAVE AS MUCH TODAY AS IT AFFECTED IT YESTERDAY. UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW...SOME FROM THE RIDGE TO THE EAST OF
SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE...AND SOME TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
OF A SEPARATE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC CENTER AND TROUGH. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR STILL
SURROUNDS THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
WAVE...FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 32W AND 50W...AND FROM THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE COAST OF MOROCCO.Normally this area of the atlantic basin is already closed for tropical developments as conditions become less favorable but this wave is in an enviroment that is semifavorable now but dry air is around the system and that alone may be the fork to not let this wave do anything more than what it is.But in the tropics there is a saying never say never so we dont lose nothing if we watch it to see what it does although I personnally dont expect any development from it.
