Will the blob east of lesser antilles form into something?

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cycloneye
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Will the blob east of lesser antilles form into something?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 06, 2004 7:17 pm

Image

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TROPICAL WAVE REPOSITIONED TO 58W/59W S OF 20N MOVING W 10 KT.
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A SHARP WAVE AXIS AND ASSOCIATED
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION APPROACHING BARBADOS AND THE LESSER
ANTILLES. THE WAVE HAD BEEN LOCATED FARTHER W OVER THE
CARIBBEAN...BUT THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN MADE A SFC TROF OVER THE
MONA PASSAGE AS A REFLECTION OF THE MID/UPPER LOW NEAR PUERTO
RICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING
PRIMARILY E OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 12N-20N BETWEEN 51W-58W IN
RESPONSE TO BROAD WLY SHEAR OVER THE REGION.



Too much hostil enviroment in the area but you never know if things improve for the area to get organized but what may happen with this mess is that a low will form NE of the islands maybe subtropical and move north but I guess from the islands the people there may have to watch it just in case it moves thru them but the model guidance shows this moving NW and then north with time.
Last edited by cycloneye on Wed Oct 06, 2004 9:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby Sanibel » Wed Oct 06, 2004 7:24 pm

Forgot to mention this with all the BOC action.

Almost looks like a regional favorability has temporarily snapped on. Some depth there. Will it spin?
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#3 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Oct 06, 2004 7:31 pm

I believe this area had multiple vorticity spins earlier today ...
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 06, 2004 8:32 pm

Stormsfury wrote:I believe this area had multiple vorticity spins earlier today ...


Yes you are right SF many little swirls but now there is one LLC and it will be interesting to see how the interaction of the trough and the wave pans out.
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