TWOEP - 1 TD, 2 coming?

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senorpepr
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TWOEP - 1 TD, 2 coming?

#1 Postby senorpepr » Tue Oct 05, 2004 5:15 am

NHC wrote:ABPZ20 KNHC 051009
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM PDT TUE OCT 5 2004

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E
...LOCATED ABOUT 670 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CONTINUED TO
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER
TODAY.


A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CENTERED ABOUT 1350 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED
AROUND THE CENTER THIS MORNING...AND SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD
AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ARE ISSUED
UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP4.

FORECASTER STEWART


We shall see...
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senorpepr
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#2 Postby senorpepr » Tue Oct 05, 2004 5:16 am

From the 1005Z TWDEP

NHC wrote:TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N123W 1008 MB MOV W 10 KT. BURST OF
DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM IN SW QUADRANT. SYSTEM UNDER SAME
NE SHEAR WITH SIMILAR POTENTIAL AS T.D. 14-E TO DEVELOP WHEN
SHEAR DECREASES WITHIN 24-36 HOURS.
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