ridge still building W?

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Weatherboy1
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ridge still building W?

#1 Postby Weatherboy1 » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:06 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/nwatl-wv-loop.html

I've looked at all the models, read all the commentary, etc. But one rudimentary forecasting tool -- just looking at the WV loop -- seems to suggest to me this thing is going to come further west than expected. If you run this 12-hour loop, you see that the ridge is still expanding and building W ... the area of dry air signifying the edge of that ridge to Jeanne's N and W is now all the way across FL and into the GOMEX. The ULL/shortwave that is supposed to weaken the W extent of the ridge is riding up and over the top of it (heading NE toward Canada). This is not a w---cast, but I am sincerely concerned that the NHC track may be too far east with this turn and that anywhere from West Palm Beach through Ft. Pierce may get a direct hit from a shallower angle than currently expected.
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rbaker

#2 Postby rbaker » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:11 am

I was saying the same thing yesterday in the evening that the wv loop is really the best forecasting tool for what's really going on now.
In fact whether it's a wobble or not a wsw wobble has taken place here in the last couple hrs, and if that continues are forecast are going to verify
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#3 Postby Agua » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:19 am

Yeah, I commented in another thread that it appears the ridge is building both west and south. I'm an amatuer only, and a poor one at that. I wish we could get some of our pros and talented amatuers to chime in on this feature.
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#4 Postby Aimless » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:24 am

I've been watching this as well - Pros comment ??? Please !
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#5 Postby hurricane1020 » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:30 am

stupid question what does this mean
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#6 Postby ericinmia » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:35 am

Here you go...
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=47264
I answered this question early this morning.
Hope that helps some.
-Eric
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robbielyn
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strike probability for tampa is 18 same as jaxville.

#7 Postby robbielyn » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:50 am

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Robbielyn McCrary
I know just about enough to sound like I know what I'm talking about sometimes. But for your safety please follow the nhc for truly professional forecasting. :D


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