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r_u_stuck2 · #21 Postby **r_u_stuck2** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 7:51 pm

Random power outages, lights have blinked about 6-8 times. At my place we have had just over 1 inch of rain. Wind picking up a little now, rain not really that bad, certainly nothing like Opal was. I was really expecting more rain and we may still get it. I guess we will know between midnight and two how bad it will be.

Sanibel · #22 Postby **Sanibel** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 7:52 pm

See if it trends...

#23 Postby **artinla** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:08 pm

I was watching WKRG channel 5 and their graphic showed the eye passing directly over Baldwin County and moving off to the northeast. The forecaster for channel 5 has been very good in the past. We shall see.

Art

aumoore · #24 Postby **aumoore** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:26 pm

http://storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php ... 4d5#681424

Hope my neighbors and friends are going to be ok

gkrangers · #25 Postby **gkrangers** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:26 pm

Looks like its due north again.

Pigsnibble · #26 Postby **Pigsnibble** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:28 pm

Dare I use the 'W' word.......looks to be back north to me too.

dwinpcola · #27 Postby **dwinpcola** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:47 pm

ok here in Milton just to east of pensacola(lived in pcola many years).Power is starting to go out in pcola and winds are picking up greatly. There has been great storm surge already earlier today. Rain here has been about two inches alreay here. Wind here is picking up and has been steady.

good luck all

dw

#28 Postby **Stormcenter** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:57 pm

Due north.

huricanwatcher · #29 Postby **huricanwatcher** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:58 pm

just saw the track on TWC..... yes we have a hook......

mb229 · #30 Postby **mb229** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:05 pm

if the path of Ivan jst shown on TWC is a hook, no wonder I can't catch fish. I use something that looks like this ----> J lol

NorthGaWeather · #31 Postby **NorthGaWeather** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:06 pm

its North with a very slight East movement and recon shows this.

Sanibel · #32 Postby **Sanibel** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:46 pm

Correct.

The apparent NNE was probably the top of the eyewall being blown east by interaction with the trough.

I'd say 2-3* north movement up and under Mobile Bay still. If this holds Gulf Shores east will take the hard eyewall...

gulfcoaster53 · #33 Postby **gulfcoaster53** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:51 pm

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... itype=irbw

Sanibel · #34 Postby **Sanibel** » Wed Sep 15, 2004 11:05 pm

If it doesn't wobble back right the west wall will go right up Mobile Bay...

Look for another pronounced east wobble to confirm the trend...

Sanibel · #35 Postby **Sanibel** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 12:45 am

Big wobble east!

Takes Mobile out of the target.

Pensacola!

GuffMorlix · #36 Postby **GuffMorlix** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 12:50 am

So what does the west eye wall in Bay mean for the city of Mobile? I know it means the east (and worst) side Baldwin County and points toward Florida. But what about Mobile?

RonStallcup · #37 Postby **RonStallcup** » Thu Sep 16, 2004 12:53 am

I'm in Downtown Pensacola. I'm watching the storm from a protected place.

I thought what I was seeing was Cat. 2 winds, turns out they are just Cat. 1.

We are getting the worst of the worst, Just a matter of how bad it will be.

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