11pm Ivan-140 mph winds, 932 mb pressure

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Brent
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11pm Ivan-140 mph winds, 932 mb pressure

#1 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:35 pm

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at ... arine.html

Over Mobile Thursday Morning at 7am as a Cat 4! :eek:
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Re: 11pm Ivan-140 mph winds, 932 mb pressure

#2 Postby Ixolib » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:37 pm

Brent wrote:http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at200409.marine.html

Over Mobile Thursday Morning at 7am as a Cat 4! :eek:


Did NHC confirm Mobile as the hit?
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#3 Postby Guest » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:37 pm

Looks like its waining right now. Every night it does it. Last night it did it too but the eye is looking good at least.
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#4 Postby FLLuckyAgain » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:37 pm

Brent ...It says you live in Alabama..Don't you think you should be doing some friggin preperations?
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#5 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:40 pm

I'm well inland. We're prepared as much as we can be. No structual damage here, just maybe some trees and powerlines. I live about 150 miles east of the projected path.

INITIAL 15/0300Z 25.1N 87.2W 120 KT
12HR VT 15/1200Z 26.6N 87.8W 125 KT
24HR VT 16/0000Z 28.6N 88.2W 125 KT
36HR VT 16/1200Z 30.6N 88.2W 120 KT...INLAND NEAR MOBILE, ALABAMA(140 MPH WINDS!)
48HR VT 17/0000Z 32.6N 87.6W 70 KT...INLAND OVER HALE COUNTY, ALABAMA(80 MPH WINDS)
72HR VT 18/0000Z 35.0N 85.5W 30 KT...INLAND NEAR ALABAMA/GEORGIA/TENNESSEE BORDER(35 MPH WINDS)
96HR VT 19/0000Z 35.5N 85.0W 20 KT...INLAND
120HR VT 20/0000Z 35.5N 85.0W 20 KT...INLAND
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#6 Postby FLLuckyAgain » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:43 pm

You will lose power..That is the key..With this monster the way it is it don't look like you will have it for a long time..Here in Stuart fl it took 12 days...Man i hope you have the ice ready and a battery powered fan because them humid nights are a b!tch..
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#7 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:45 pm

FLLuckyAgain wrote:You will lose power..That is the key..With this monster the way it is it don't look like you will have it for a long time..Here in Stuart fl it took 12 days...Man i hope you have the ice ready and a battery powered fan because them humid nights are a b!tch..


That's what I'm afraid of. They are forecasting 40-50 mph sustained winds all day Thursday and Thursday Night with gusts in the 60-75 mph range.
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#8 Postby FLLuckyAgain » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:48 pm

I think them estimates are conserviative..Gonna be a long week(s)...Now Ill have to find Jeanne advisorys on my own...:(
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#9 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:53 pm

Looks low to me too, unfortunately. NHC has it over West Alabama about 100 miles west of here as an 80 mph hurricane, probably 50-60 mph sustained here with hurricane force gusts. I'm pretty sure we're going to one of my relative's house who has a basement. Be better than here...
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#10 Postby c5Camille » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:55 pm

it's showing 15 miles down the coast from me...
looks like a Frederic path... PLEASE GIVE ME
THE WEST SIDE...
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#11 Postby FLLuckyAgain » Tue Sep 14, 2004 9:57 pm

Im no genious but i know i would not want to be in a basement with 25 inches of rain...I'd take my chances upstairs...LOL
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#12 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:07 pm

FLLuckyAgain wrote:Im no genious but i know i would not want to be in a basement with 25 inches of rain...I'd take my chances upstairs...LOL


The basement is only in case of tornadoes. I'm going to be on that side...
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#13 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:12 pm

c5Camille wrote:it's showing 15 miles down the coast from me...
looks like a Frederic path... PLEASE GIVE ME
THE WEST SIDE...


I hear ya Camille....I'll be at work tomorrow morning, so I might just decide to ride it out there. Good, nice sturdy new building. Right on the bay/river.

Good luck.
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#14 Postby rainstorm » Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:16 pm

they also stall ivan
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#15 Postby Mello1 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:22 pm

Brent wrote:
FLLuckyAgain wrote:You will lose power..That is the key..With this monster the way it is it don't look like you will have it for a long time..Here in Stuart fl it took 12 days...Man i hope you have the ice ready and a battery powered fan because them humid nights are a b!tch..


That's what I'm afraid of. They are forecasting 40-50 mph sustained winds all day Thursday and Thursday Night with gusts in the 60-75 mph range.


Atlanta just got the reminients of Frances and it knocked power out at my Dad's house for the day and they seldom have power outages. Also lots of flooding and trees downs everywhere, narrowly missing my father's and sister's cars. That's why I've been tracking Ivan, cuz Ga, SC and NC can't take much more rain right now.

Also, you got resources stretched thin with a lot of power crews in Fla. helping out there. Just make sure you got plenty of provisions. Good luck!
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#16 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:23 pm

Mello1 wrote:
Brent wrote:
FLLuckyAgain wrote:You will lose power..That is the key..With this monster the way it is it don't look like you will have it for a long time..Here in Stuart fl it took 12 days...Man i hope you have the ice ready and a battery powered fan because them humid nights are a b!tch..


That's what I'm afraid of. They are forecasting 40-50 mph sustained winds all day Thursday and Thursday Night with gusts in the 60-75 mph range.


Atlanta just got the reminients of Frances and it knocked power out at my Dad's house for the day and they seldom have power outages. Also lots of flooding and trees downs everywhere, narrowly missing my father's and sister's cars. That's why I've been tracking Ivan, cuz Ga, SC and NC can't take much more rain right now.

Also, you got resources stretched thin with a lot of power crews in Fla. helping out there. Just make sure you got plenty of provisions. Good luck!


I'm not going to be in the worst possible scenario(right by the eye). If I were... probably hurricane force sustained, what is expected is bad enough. I'm hoping to get away without any prolonged power outages...
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#17 Postby Stormtrack03 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:29 pm

Chaos ! :(
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#18 Postby addictedfisher18 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:39 pm

brent at least you dont live on the coast like i do lol, this is gonna be veryyyy bad
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#19 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:46 pm

addictedfisher18 wrote:brent at least you dont live on the coast like i do lol, this is gonna be veryyyy bad


Yes. I'm grateful for that. :)

I'm really hoping this stalls or weakens faster than the NHC says or the wind field isn't as large when it gets here. I'm a good 150 miles east of the center on the current track, so maybe it won't be so bad.

Very worried about flooding though. :(
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#20 Postby addictedfisher18 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:48 pm

Well i wish the best for you man be careful, im ready for this thing
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