00:00 Models for Jeanne=996 mbs,crawling 7kts

[cycloneye]

Code: Select all

CYCLONES.

  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

  TROPICAL STORM JEANNE     (AL112004) ON 20040915  0000 UTC

          ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
          040915  0000   040915  1200   040916  0000   040916  1200

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    17.0N  64.2W   17.7N  65.9W   18.4N  67.4W   18.6N  68.7W
  BAMM    17.0N  64.2W   17.9N  66.1W   18.6N  67.6W   18.9N  69.1W
  A98E    17.0N  64.2W   17.5N  65.5W   18.1N  66.9W   18.7N  68.3W
  LBAR    17.0N  64.2W   17.7N  65.7W   18.6N  67.3W   19.2N  68.7W
  SHIP        50KTS          62KTS          71KTS          77KTS
  DSHP        50KTS          62KTS          57KTS          62KTS

          ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
          040917  0000   040918  0000   040919  0000   040920  0000

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    18.7N  69.9W   18.6N  72.1W   18.7N  73.6W   19.6N  74.5W
  BAMM    19.1N  70.2W   19.0N  72.0W   19.6N  72.6W   22.1N  71.1W
  A98E    18.9N  69.8W   18.7N  73.2W   17.0N  76.5W   15.4N  78.5W
  LBAR    19.5N  70.2W   20.8N  72.3W   23.2N  74.3W   26.0N  75.2W
  SHIP        82KTS          88KTS          87KTS          87KTS
  DSHP        64KTS          70KTS          69KTS          69KTS

               ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
  LATCUR =  17.0N LONCUR =  64.2W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
  LATM12 =  16.4N LONM12 =  62.6W DIRM12 = 286DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
  LATM24 =  16.0N LONM24 =  60.7W
  WNDCUR =   50KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   35KT
  CENPRS =  996MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
  RD34NE =   35NM RD34SE =   35NM RD34SW =   35NM RD34NW =  35NM

[PuertoRicoLibre]

She is slowing down. That is bad news. More rain, more flooding. And the slight wobble to 17 north makes it more likely that she will trek closer to San Juan than forecasted at 5 pm. Another Hortensia scenario? Hopefully that, and not a Marylin, which is what really concerns me. All we have going for us right not is that small area of shear on the NW side of the cyclone. Do we know what the forecast is on that for the next 24 hours. Another hurricane with a French name is about to hit Puerto Rico and on a moment's notice. Incredible.

[cycloneye]

Yes another Hortense unfolding here.

Here is the grafic of the 00:00 models for Jeanne.

http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm

[cswitwer]

Libre,

I like the NOAA Wavewatch site: http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/waves/main_int.html

I ran Jeanne "animated", "latest run", WNA (west north atlantic regional) for wind speed. It shows wind speed and direction, plus the track. It's not an official track, tho-- it's a model run.

Good luck out there.

Espero que ella es un pescado! (Perdon el "Tex Mex" malo)

chris

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

Libre,

I like the NOAA Wavewatch site: http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/waves/main_int.html

I ran Jeanne "animated", "latest run", WNA (west north atlantic regional) for wind speed. It shows wind speed and direction, plus the track. It's not an official track, tho-- it's a model run.

Good luck out there.

Espero que ella es un pescado! (Perdon el "Tex Mex" malo)

chris

that looks like another one behind it????

[PuertoRicoLibre]

Chris, gracias for the link, man.

[brudeb]

I have alot of family in PR. I am worried about all of them but especially my dad lives in Coqui right by Salinas and my abuela is in Bayamon. It looks like the eye is coming on right over my dad. I am a nervous wreck for him. Please be safe and take care.