Track forecast

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wxbrad
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#21 Postby wxbrad » Thu Sep 02, 2004 10:49 am

Image

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More example why the north turn will be delayed by a couple of days. She can't go too far north for long, maybe a West movemnt is coming soon.
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#22 Postby rtd2 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 10:50 am

Brad nice forecast and I see your reasoning but still too north
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Trader Ron
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#23 Postby Trader Ron » Thu Sep 02, 2004 10:52 am

Unless it bends back West, i think it looks like landfall North of Palm Beach.
Nice work Brad...
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#24 Postby wxbrad » Thu Sep 02, 2004 10:53 am

rtd2, yeah I'm second gusessing myself that I wasn't south enough. I am pretty dang confident she'll get back into the GOM for a time, there will be 2 landfalls.
Last edited by wxbrad on Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#25 Postby isobar » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:09 am

It looks like your latest track puts Tampa on the dreaded NE quad, which is concerning since they were supposed to be hit head-on by Charley and barely got a breeze. There may be some complacency and frustration after all the preps and evacs made before.
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#26 Postby Canelaw99 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:12 am

Brad - don't like your forecast path, but I do agree with it for the most part - basically what I've thought from day 1 :eek:
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