NHC Verifying On Track

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cycloneye
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#21 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:33 pm

Sanibel welcome to the best board of the net and glad that you are here.
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Sanibel
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#22 Postby Sanibel » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:47 pm

Unknown Effect



If you look at the outflow pattern it has formed into a box-shape. This may mean absolutley nothing, but storms like Mitch that suddenly did an unexpected move have had this happen just prior to the move.

Perhaps it is as simple as an indication of the recurve?
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cebers01
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#23 Postby cebers01 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:50 pm

Seems some of the posts here from this morning are not proving out and we have a storm riding NORTH of Grand Turk, not south, or on it... Also, if the movement of the last couple hours verifies, the NW component of GFDL and GFS will begin to show up... Watch for some northerly changes to other models overnight... And now we are approaching a more reliable solution to models that were being extrapolated way further then they usually are built for... 72 hours is really about the best for GFS and associated runs, so let's see if the others move north, or if GFS turns south...
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kevin

#24 Postby kevin » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:54 pm

Definetely moving further north. Pretty soon people may say 'Is Frances a FISH?!' ;)
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Lebowsky

#25 Postby Lebowsky » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:07 pm

Well I am glad to see someone arguing the NHC is correct, all the "the NHC is on crack" comments were driving me crazy. This storm is stressful enough as things stand without having to consider that sort of thing.
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Guest

#26 Postby Guest » Wed Sep 01, 2004 6:40 pm

love your post sanibel and glad you are ok after Charlie.Read your commits on other sites. And by the way Brent you too... and where is Hurricanegirl ?she lives in jax. havenot seen her in several days on any sites ? Marilyn
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