NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
HURRICANE FRANCES (AL062004) ON 20040831 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
040831 1800 040901 0600 040901 1800 040902 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 20.3N 65.1W 21.3N 67.8W 22.3N 70.2W 23.4N 72.1W
BAMM 20.3N 65.1W 21.0N 67.5W 21.9N 69.7W 22.8N 71.5W
A98E 20.3N 65.1W 20.9N 68.3W 21.6N 71.2W 22.3N 73.8W
LBAR 20.3N 65.1W 20.9N 67.9W 21.8N 70.7W 22.8N 73.3W
SHIP 120KTS 125KTS 132KTS 131KTS
DSHP 120KTS 125KTS 132KTS 131KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
040902 1800 040903 1800 040904 1800 040905 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 24.4N 73.6W 26.1N 76.3W 27.2N 78.9W 28.9N 81.1W
BAMM 23.8N 73.1W 25.6N 75.8W 26.9N 78.7W 28.0N 81.0W
A98E 22.3N 76.1W 21.5N 79.8W 18.5N 82.4W 15.7N 84.3W
LBAR 23.8N 75.8W 25.6N 80.0W 27.5N 82.9W 29.1N 84.1W
SHIP 132KTS 125KTS 117KTS 100KTS
DSHP 132KTS 125KTS 117KTS 53KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 20.3N LONCUR = 65.1W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 15KT
LATM12 = 19.8N LONM12 = 62.1W DIRM12 = 277DEG SPDM12 = 12KT
LATM24 = 19.4N LONM24 = 59.4W
WNDCUR = 120KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 110KT
CENPRS = 942MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 150NM RD34SE = 130NM RD34SW = 100NM RD34NW = 150NM
18:00 Models for Frances
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cycloneye
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18:00 Models for Frances
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PurdueWx80
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hurricanemike
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PurdueWx80
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Tertius wrote:PurdueWx80 wrote:A98 - crap..has it in the central Caribbean. LOL. The others have a Cat 3 hitting the central to north central FL coast.
Actually only the BAMM and BAMD have it that far north. The LBAR has it landing in northern Dade County somewhere.
Ahh..crap. That's what I get for eyeing it. The 12Z Euro is almost exactly the same as the LBAR, maybe a hair north.
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GalvestonDuck
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- Location: Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)
LOL...fighting over who's getting it? What is that...wishfighting?
Honestly, I'd hate for either FL or NC/SC to get this. I don't want it either, obviously.
But I wish there was some kind of miracle to get this thing turning north and moving parallel but far enough away from the EC of the peninsula, then curving NE enough and miraculously back out to sea without hitting the US.
Hey...it's my wishcast and I'll call it if I want to!
Honestly, I'd hate for either FL or NC/SC to get this. I don't want it either, obviously.
But I wish there was some kind of miracle to get this thing turning north and moving parallel but far enough away from the EC of the peninsula, then curving NE enough and miraculously back out to sea without hitting the US.
Hey...it's my wishcast and I'll call it if I want to!
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