Folks-It's going to happen in Fl

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

Folks-It's going to happen in Fl

#1 Postby Vortex » Mon Aug 30, 2004 1:38 pm

The facts are scary--based on record-keeping since the late 1800's a cat 4 or stronger moving w/wnw at 26n or S and west of 76W has hit S Fl better than 90% of the time...My point is only use the models to look at the trends...The trend is a Florida Hit possibly directly on S Fl then moving more nw/nnw up the state...It is what it is--so please Prepare!
0 likes   

User avatar
tallbunch
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 297
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 12:35 pm
Location: hilton head Island, SC

#2 Postby tallbunch » Mon Aug 30, 2004 1:42 pm

I don't agree
0 likes   

soonertwister
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1091
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 2:52 pm

#3 Postby soonertwister » Mon Aug 30, 2004 1:48 pm

You shouldn't post the same topic twice in 3 minutes with slightly difference topic names.

This is alarmist and uncalled for. The best hurricane forecasters in the world don't know whether or not it is going to hit Florida or anywhere else at this time. Nor do you.

Your claim of 90% Florida strikes is not valid unless you can link us to the research proving it is. Even so, it doesn't mean that Florida will get hit.

In two days people will know much more about where this storm is headed. Can't you wait that long?
0 likes   

TLHR

#4 Postby TLHR » Mon Aug 30, 2004 2:00 pm

THIS JUST IN!

A WOLF HAS BEEN SIGHTED IN THE FOREST!!

ALSO, THE SKY IS FALLING!!!

FILM AT 11 !!!!

On a more serious note, I'd say anywhere from Daytona Beach, FL to Savannah,GA is fair game.
0 likes   

User avatar
joseph01
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 236
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 6:08 pm
Location: gainesville, florida

#5 Postby joseph01 » Mon Aug 30, 2004 2:13 pm

Your claim of 90% Florida strikes is not valid unless you can link us to the research proving it is. Even so, it doesn't mean that Florida will get hit.


I would go a step farther, and say that regardless of the historical trend, the behavior of Frances is governed only by the influential forces at the current time.

Am I wrong?

Could it even be possible to have an exact same set of circumstances, such that history could have a voice on this current scenario?

I wonder.
0 likes   

golter

#6 Postby golter » Mon Aug 30, 2004 2:28 pm

Quite a prediction - Storm headins w @ 26N 76W has a 90% chance of hitting Fl. That like saying man jumps out window and has 90% chance of hitting the ground. But anyway, show us your data.....
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot], Hurricane2022, Teban54 and 67 guests