LBAR is kicking butt with Frances

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Scott_inVA
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LBAR is kicking butt with Frances

#1 Postby Scott_inVA » Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:47 pm

I've been staining our cedar siding all day and was thinking "what can I do that's more fun than this?". So I ran a verification though 18Z on Frances.

Through 72 hours, the overall best performance has been turned in by the lowly LBAR :eek:

Second place: TPC (they are #1 at 48 hrs)

UKMET is second to last so far...only thing worse than the UKie to date has been the A98E (barf).

GFDL not done well inside 72 hrs. GFS was better last year with Carib/GOM storms than thus far with Frances so we'll see.

The "unofficial" stands (EC is not included)

1. LBAR
2. Official TPC/NHC
3. GFDL
4. BAMD
5. GFS
6. CMC
7. NOGAPS
8. BAMM
9. UKMET
10 A98E

chug-chug lil' LBAR...you're the model that could.

UKMET and LBARImage

Scott
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LaBreeze
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#2 Postby LaBreeze » Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:54 pm

An opinion I respect, Scott.
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NOAA-NHC Saubers1
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#3 Postby NOAA-NHC Saubers1 » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:02 pm

UKMET has been basically ignored here at the forecast center, its product is generally accepted as improbable for this hurricane.
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#4 Postby NOAA-NHC Saubers1 » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:04 pm

We really dont know what to think about this one yet, our forecast will be substantially better in 1-2 days from now, this storm is throwing us a curve ball....we dont like curve balls when it comes to possible category 5 hurricanes :(
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