It was a wobble

golter · #1 Postby **golter** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 5:43 pm

Frances appears to have continued her NW trek. The longer she does the better chance she'll end up further north.

lilbump3000 · #2 Postby **lilbump3000** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 5:44 pm

Well if it was a wobble, that was the longest wobble i ever seen with a hurricane.

Website · #3 Postby **Brent** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 5:45 pm

It's not forecast to turn WNW til tomorrow anyway, so if it turns sooner it would be farther south and closer to the islands.

weatherdude · #4 Postby **weatherdude** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 5:46 pm

guys...looked at latest a98e...ukmet-global models etc...and they seem (key word-seem) to be trending towards a more nw track and ending further up the coast than is currently forecast. Am I just seeing things--what's your opinion on this?

Guest · #5 Postby **Guest** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 5:48 pm

Its still W/NW

Its been wobbling W/NW now for a while,it just to 1 jump north & then it jumped West again.Thats what these things do.

cinlfla · #6 Postby **cinlfla** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 5:51 pm

Its still W/NW

Its been wobbling W/NW now for a while,it just to 1 jump north & then it jumped West again.Thats what these things do.

That's kind of what it looked like to me to, It's almost like steps, a step to the left then a step to the north I though I was seeing things.
Cindy

Stratosphere747 · #7 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 5:51 pm

A98e...Should be shot and put to rest....

CalmBeforeStorm · #8 Postby **CalmBeforeStorm** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 5:52 pm

golter wrote:Frances appears to have continued her NW trek. The longer she does the better chance she'll end up further north.

The present location (approx 18.0n 53.0n fixed on NRL) is exactly WNW from the 11:00 a.m position.

Website · #9 Postby **Brent** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 5:54 pm

TWC just said it's starting to turn WNW.

chris_fit · #10 Postby **chris_fit** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 5:54 pm

Duhhhhh.. look at the loops from today :-p

Guest · #11 Postby **Guest** » Sat Aug 28, 2004 5:57 pm

weatherdude wrote:guys...looked at latest a98e...ukmet-global models etc...and they seem (key word-seem) to be trending towards a more nw track and ending further up the coast than is currently forecast. Am I just seeing things--what's your opinion on this?

From the NHC 5 PM Discussion;

"THE NHC RUNNING TRACK ERRORS THROUGH 28/18Z ARE
44...71...AND 104 NMI AT 24-...48-...AND 72-HR...RESPECTIVELY.
THESE ERRORS ARE HALF OUR AVERAGE ERRORS...AND ARE BETTER THAN ALL OF THE COMPUTER MODELS...INCLUDING THE CONSENSUS MODELS. THEREFORE ...WE HAVE A FAIR DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE IN OUR FORECAST TRACK...WHICH REMAINS BETWEEN THE GFS MODEL TO THE SOUTH AND THE UKMET MODEL TO THE NORTH."

Enough Said.

It was a wobble

It was a wobble

Re: It was a wobble

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