12Z GFDL

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
CaluWxBill
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 577
Joined: Sun Dec 21, 2003 8:31 pm
Location: Southwest PA
Contact:
Contact CaluWxBill

12Z GFDL

#1 Postby CaluWxBill » Thu Aug 26, 2004 1:09 pm

well I ran the 12Z GFDL which was just released on the servers.
Looks like it will reach cat 3 status via GFDL

http://home.comcast.net/~bscheftic/frances.html
0 likes   
Top
c5Camille

#2 Postby c5Camille » Thu Aug 26, 2004 1:13 pm

that's a GREAT link...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ChaserUK
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 630
Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 4:10 pm
Location: Jersey, Channel Islands
Contact:
Contact ChaserUK

#3 Postby ChaserUK » Thu Aug 26, 2004 1:21 pm

Yes it is - thanks - nice and clear! Looks like Frances will not only be a major but also large too!
0 likes   
Top
JTD
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1558
Joined: Sun Nov 02, 2003 6:35 pm

#4 Postby JTD » Thu Aug 26, 2004 1:32 pm

WOW. That model is SO showing fish and no threat to the islands whatsoever.

GREAT NEWS!!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3261
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

#5 Postby chris_fit » Thu Aug 26, 2004 1:50 pm

According to this model does look a little better for the islands... lets wait for the other runs of other models to confirm great news
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
CaluWxBill
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 577
Joined: Sun Dec 21, 2003 8:31 pm
Location: Southwest PA
Contact:
Contact CaluWxBill

#6 Postby CaluWxBill » Thu Aug 26, 2004 1:52 pm

jason0509 wrote:WOW. That model is SO showing fish and no threat to the islands whatsoever.

GREAT NEWS!!


May be a fish for the islands, but it shows a pretty steady wnw, nw movement crossing the 20th parallel at 56.5W but it is one model run, but I think it still shows a definite threat to the US mainland, and those in the islands it would be too soon to turn your eye away from the storm, even though it seems as if it will pass well North.
0 likes   
Top
JTD
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1558
Joined: Sun Nov 02, 2003 6:35 pm

#7 Postby JTD » Thu Aug 26, 2004 1:54 pm

Oh, so it's great news for the Islands. But bad news for CONUS?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
CaluWxBill
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 577
Joined: Sun Dec 21, 2003 8:31 pm
Location: Southwest PA
Contact:
Contact CaluWxBill

#8 Postby CaluWxBill » Thu Aug 26, 2004 1:57 pm

jason0509 wrote:Oh, so it's great news for the Islands. But bad news for CONUS?


I was a little too aggressive with my terminology, I just mean that it certainly does not really show a true indication of turning it away from the US by any means. That does not mean, we won't see these indications in future model runs.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: StormWeather, Team Ghost, Yellow Evan and 343 guests