00z GFS continues

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Vortex
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00z GFS continues

#1 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 26, 2004 12:06 am

to depict with consitency a pattern that would not bold well for the bahamas, Florida and the Gulf long term. The key here is a well established ridge along the eastern seaboard extending west would cause a scenario for Francis to move generally w/wnw across the bahamas, florida and into the Gulf. It's the forcasted synoptic pattern that concerns me as this would enable Francis to move west and into the Gulf....


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_312l.gif
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Yep . . .

#2 Postby WeatherNole » Thu Aug 26, 2004 12:27 am

That is a rather ominous looking model run - a similar track to a system from twelve years ago. We've had our "fun"(?) in Florida already. Time for it to go somewhere else.

For Charley, the trough was bad news, and a ridge would have been great.

The exact opposite may be true for Frances.

Come on shear!!

Mike

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