Mid-Atlantic Wx.com model map after 9PM

Scott_inVA · #1 Postby **Scott_inVA** » Mon Aug 23, 2004 4:34 pm

Will run the Invest when I get home tonight...at a Boy Scout Court of Honor right now. Lotsa free food

Should have tonight's 0Z runs as available after 9PM Monday.

Thanks.

Scott

mf_dolphin · #2 Postby **mf_dolphin** » Mon Aug 23, 2004 5:26 pm

The question is....how soon will it go fishing? Come on Scott, share the food :-)

#3 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Mon Aug 23, 2004 7:26 pm

Yeah hurry up with those model runs! lol. Guys a quick question. Why havent the guys over at net-waves.com updated their models yet? I mean just check out the website and they still have Danielle and Earl as TD 4 and TD 5. Whats up with that?

<RICKY>

http://net-waves.com/weather/modelplot.htm

Scott_inVA · #4 Postby **Scott_inVA** » Mon Aug 23, 2004 8:20 pm

All set and on the site. Link below:

Mid-Atlantic WX.com

http://www.midatlanticwx.com/modelmap.htm

Website · #5 Postby **Brent** » Mon Aug 23, 2004 8:21 pm

Scott_inVA wrote:All set and on the site. Link below:

Mid-Atlantic WX.com

http://www.midatlanticwx.com/modelmap.htm

Smells like fish.

#6 Postby **PurdueWx80** » Mon Aug 23, 2004 8:26 pm

LOL The NOGAPS has gotten a little zigzaggy. Don't tell me that's the storm reorganizing a new center every 12 hours. I don't think that necessarily spells fish, Brent. I can't imagine they'll get a good handle on it until it becomes more organized. I actually, at least at the moment, think the AVN/GFS track looks the most reasonable (looks a lot like Isabel actually). It gets caught in the TUTT for a little bit, then feels the ridge and rides the southern edge.

mf_dolphin · #7 Postby **mf_dolphin** » Mon Aug 23, 2004 8:27 pm

Looks for the most part that the models are expecting the weakness to form. I guess we'll just have to wait and see :-)

Website · #8 Postby **Brent** » Mon Aug 23, 2004 8:33 pm

PurdueWx80 wrote:LOL The NOGAPS has gotten a little zigzaggy. Don't tell me that's the storm reorganizing a new center every 12 hours. I don't think that necessarily spells fish, Brent. I can't imagine they'll get a good handle on it until it becomes more organized. I actually, at least at the moment, think the AVN/GFS track looks the most reasonable (looks a lot like Isabel actually). It gets caught in the TUTT for a little bit, then feels the ridge and rides the southern edge.

Hehe... there's always one crazy model.

Scott_inVA · #9 Postby **Scott_inVA** » Mon Aug 23, 2004 8:42 pm

mf_dolphin wrote:Looks for the most part that the models are expecting the weakness to form. I guess we'll just have to wait and see

Everything seems to want a trof to drop down in Central Atlantic, which IMO right now is reasonable.

Also, the GFS (AVN on map) dawdles for days before passing north of the 20|60 benchmark heading toward the SE CONUS. GFS also has at the same time a closed Low ~ 24|61...won't get 2 TCs in those locations.

Scott

[shameless]PS...please register for the mini-vacation at our sponsor link sometime this week. First giveaway is this weekend. 3D-2N in the spectacular Natural Bridge Resort, right down the street from me :oops:

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Mid-Atlantic Wx.com model map after 9PM

Mid-Atlantic Wx.com model map after 9PM

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