Earl going to the Yucatan

[PurdueWx80]

All early evidence points to Earl heading for the Yucatan peninsula. It is starting off at an extremely low latitude, the ridge is building west into the Caribbean, and no troughs appear to be headed into latitudes further south than 30-35N. I still think it will be our next major hurricane, as it is becoming well organized in a region that is atypical for development. Once it gets past the Yucatan, the western Gulf states of US and Mexico will be targeted.

[Stratosphere747]

Ugh...Looks like a Gilbert track?? or Allen??

[PurdueWx80]

True...or Isidore perhaps. It is moving almost due west now, but should get a good push to the WNW, or NW in a day, as that ridginess south of Jamaica and Hispaniola (notice clouds in WV loop moving N in this direction) should push it north of it's current track.

[Guest]

I dont agree on the Yucatan landfall idea at all

All early evidence points to Earl heading for the Yucatan peninsula. It is starting off at an extremely low latitude, the ridge is building west into the Caribbean, and no troughs appear to be headed into latitudes further south than 30-35N. I still think it will be our next major hurricane, as it is becoming well organized in a region that is atypical for development. Once it gets past the Yucatan, the western Gulf states of US and Mexico will be targeted.

[PurdueWx80]

DT - what do you think then? If you've already stated this somewhere else, let me know and I'll look it up.

[Stratosphere747]

Hmm...Well if it is not a Yuctan channel or peninsula hit, then he must think it is a Central America threat....

[HURAKAN]

Hmm...Well if it is not a Yuctan channel or peninsula hit, then he must think it is a Central America threat....

That's a possibility, for sure, it will have less time to organize so the damage will not be catastrophic as if it continues WNW toward the Yucatan Peninsula.