Did Bonnie and especially Charley caused upwelling in EGOM?

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cycloneye
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Did Bonnie and especially Charley caused upwelling in EGOM?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 14, 2004 7:00 am

This question is important because on the horizon there is TD#5/Earl which may get into the GOM by next week.

But my opinion about possible upwelling in the GOM caused by Bonnie and Charley is that both systems moved fairly rapid and no big cooling of the waters occured.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat Aug 14, 2004 8:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby soonertwister » Sat Aug 14, 2004 7:07 am

If we just limit the discussion to the eastern Gulf, much of those waters are quite shallow, so there isn't any significantly cooler water to upwell, or if there was, it will sink again due to physics.
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#3 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Aug 14, 2004 7:10 am

Even they did cause upwelling, the waters would probably warm back up by the time Earl comes up there.
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 14, 2004 8:53 am

Bumping thread as it went down like a rock.
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#5 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 14, 2004 8:55 am

Bonnie didn't. Charley probably didn't because he was moving at 20 mph. A storm that just sits and spins is more likely to cause upwelling.
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#6 Postby goodlife » Sat Aug 14, 2004 8:55 am

Why do you think the storm surge wasn't as large as possible??
Could it be because it skirted the coast...and as the western portion of the storm passed first..it was sucking water out...could that have been what saved them from the very large storm surges they were predicting??
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#7 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Aug 14, 2004 8:58 am

IMHO, Bonnie and Charley upwelling won't be any factor in the development of T.D. #5 SHOULD it track along the same lines ... the ensemble spread doesn't (right now) look to bring this system up towards the E GOM ...

I've been busy with Bonnie and Charley, so I won't have a good feel on those until Charley gets out of South Carolina ...

SF
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#8 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:05 am

goodlife wrote:Why do you think the storm surge wasn't as large as possible??
Could it be because it skirted the coast...and as the western portion of the storm passed first..it was sucking water out...could that have been what saved them from the very large storm surges they were predicting??


Fast motion I believe. Typically those are low surgers. I guess it gives the water more time to build up.
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