Landfall EAST of models..

[hial2]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kbyx.shtml


Just saw Scott's model map ( Dont know how to paste 2 links)...Charlie's Cuban landfall appears will be east of the models he posted..Will this fact change the forecasted tracks more east?? Should Naples/Marco Island sleep easy tonight??

[The Dark Knight]

I dunno.. All I know is that the NHC (if they see this at all) should probably shift the forecasted track a bit more esatward... This is bad for the whole Eastern Seaboard.. If this does occur, then it will have a lot more time to furthermore develop over the warm Gulf Stream waters.. Then go up the coast.... And eventually to CAPE COD!!! WHERE I LIVE!!!... We will see at 11PM EST

[spaceisland]

I feel very strongly that the trough is going to move the storm farther east than the models... impacting the coast sooner and further south: my prediction is Sanibel. The SW steering currents seen on the water vapor maps are very strong, and Charlie is not all that big that it could overcome such strong high atmospheric jet winds.

[flyingphish]

I live in north Naples and I'm not sleeping easy. This may well be a Cat 3 by the time it knocks on the door of Sw Fl. and the NE quadrant will be the bear. Had hoped this one would hook under Fl. all together. Whatever happens..Good luck to all .

[mf_dolphin]

No one on the west coast of Florida should take an eye off of Charley.

[Steve Cosby]

I live in north Naples and I'm not sleeping easy. This may well be a Cat 3 by the time it knocks on the door of Sw Fl. and the NE quadrant will be the bear. Had hoped this one would hook under Fl. all together. Whatever happens..Good luck to all .

If I were you, I'd already be in the car heading east. It ain't worth waking up to the blow.

[Guest]

Everyone keep saying east and that he is moving north but the fact of the matter is he still has a western component to him.. as long as he keeps that component the more WEST the landfall will be.

[Trader Ron]

I'm in North Naples. Hunkering down.

[stormchazer]

I'd like to accuse you of -removed-...but it makes sense. A shift to the right could bring it in on top of you. Be safe.

[Nimbus]

If you use a long loop and do 6 hour averaging to take out the wobbles you can see a little shift towards the north. 6 hours ago I expected the eyewall to brush the east coast of the Isle of youth and now its a few miles off. The system also looks as though it might be slowing down a little which increases the risk of a track change. By the time Charley crosses 25 N we should have a better idea of the track and intensity.

[kpantz]

Dark Night, I'm not too sure about a Mid-Atlantic/Northeast landfall if Charley tracks further to the right than forecast. Hard to believe it would regain any westward component to its motion if it gets out over the Gulf Stream.

Still, stranger things have happened, I suppose!

[The Dark Knight]

Maybe... We will see at 11PM...

[Guest]

and then we can Put on a show!!! In the barn... and Mommy and daddy can dress like children and we can pretend that we are grown ups...

I dunno.. All I know is that the NHC (if they see this at all) should probably shift the forecasted track a bit more esatward... This is bad for the whole Eastern Seaboard.. If this does occur, then it will have a lot more time to furthermore develop over the warm Gulf Stream waters.. Then go up the coast.... And eventually to CAPE COD!!! WHERE I LIVE!!!... We will see at 11PM EST

[kevin]

lol! I don't know where we picked up characters like Batman.

[bahamaswx]

lol DT... great