Question about the track

[EDR1222]

Watching Charley reminds me some of Hurricane Irene back in October of 1999. I remember that it gave forecasters some problems and I was just curious if anyone knows if there are similarities here. I remember with Irene, they were saying that the models didn't do a good job of taking into account the strength of the Atlantic High Pressure Ridge, or the weaknesses, and they said it was more difficult with gulf storms. I also do not remember if there was a strong trough in place during that time. Does anyone see anything else influencing Charley besides the big trough digging in? Our local weather service in Melbourne expects high pressure to strengthen and build west by early next week, I guess to late to keep Charley in the gulf and away from Central Florida, but it never hurts to hope

Any thoughts?
Thanks,
And by the way, thanks to everyone on here. I have learned alot from all of you on here! Lots of great information

[chris_fit]

I think that high would be behind the trough

~Chris

[The Dark Knight]

I agree....