11:30 TWO out!

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Tropical Weather Outlook


Statement as of 11:30 am EDT on August 9, 2004


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
The remnants of Tropical Depression Two are centered in the extreme
southeastern Gulf of Mexico about 75 miles north of the north coast
of the Yucatan Peninsula. Although upper-level winds have become a
little less favorable...this system continues to show signs of
organization and could re-develop into a tropical cyclone later
today as it moves west-northwestward around 10 mph. An Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system this afternoon.
The strong tropical wave in the vicinity of Tobago is moving
westward at 20 to 25 mph. Although surface observations do not
indicate a closed circulation at this time...this system is well
organized and has the potential to develop into a tropical cyclone
later today. Even if tropical cyclone formation does not
occur...squalls with some wind gusts to tropical storm force are
likely over the Windward Islands today...especially over higher
terrain. An Air Force Reserve unit hurricane hunter plane is
scheduled to investigate the wave on Tuesday. All interests in the
eastern and central Caribbean Sea should closely monitor the
progress of this system over the next couple of days.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through
Tuesday.
Forecaster Pasch
$$

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