Finally some action in the GOM

[Lindaloo]

He is not saying it will affect Florida. He is merely stating that he does not want anymore rain in Florida, regardless.

[Anonymous]

....

I don't want anymore rain here in Florida...But at this time the flow looks like it may come here. Like I said wishcast more. I don't want it

[NorthGaWeather]

But the potnetial is there and regardless if this develops its gonna bring rains somewhere.

[Lindaloo]

And your point?

[Rainband]

....

I don't want anymore rain here in Florida...But at this time the flow looks like it may come here. Like I said wishcast more. I don't want it

MAY. The models aren't even sure what is going to happen But wishcast away!!

For the weekend a tropical wave...or some type of tropical system...
will move across the northwestern Caribbean with some minor influence
possible over the southern forecast area. Combined with uncertainty in frontal
forecast to the north and run to run inconsistency...have low confidence
in model forecasts. Have chosen to show light winds with some tweaks
in wind directions across the area...and have kept pop forecast at 40
percent.


&&


Marine...pressure gradient relaxed a bit early this afternoon with
Cedar Key reporting winds east-northeast 8g10kts and bouy 42036 reporting winds
east-southeast 10g12kts with seas 3.6 feet. No highlights needed.


&&


Fire weather...no concerns.


&&


Preliminary point temps/pops...
tpa 076 088 076 089 / 40 60 40 40
fmy 075 090 074 091 / 40 40 30 40
gif 075 088 075 090 / 70 60 40 70
srq 074 088 074 089 / 40 60 40 40
bkv 073 087 073 089 / 40 60 40 50


Tbw watches/warnings/advisories...none.


&&


$$


Short term...Noah
long term....rjs










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[NorthGaWeather]

Honestly I see no way this will get to Florida. By the time the trough has an affect on the system it will be far enough north and west that only a East or SE movement would threaten Florida and the trough would carry it North.

[Rainband]

Good